**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Milan on September 3 around 19–22°C under clear skies and light winds, supporting the leading market-implied probabilities clustered near 20–23°C.** High-pressure dominance and a warm airmass have produced above-average temperatures, with daytime highs projected near 32°C limiting nocturnal cooling. Ensemble spreads reflect typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, keeping 17°C and sub-13°C outcomes viable but less favored. Historical September minima average near 17–19°C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly that traders are pricing through skin-in-the-game consensus ahead of the final model runs before the date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Milão a 3 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Milão a 3 de setembro?
23°C or higher 69%
13°C or below 59%
21°C 49%
17°C 28%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
13°C or below
59%
14°C
17%
15°C
3%
16°C
26%
17°C
28%
18°C
28%
19°C
26%
20°C
25%
21°C
49%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
69%
23°C or higher 69%
13°C or below 59%
21°C 49%
17°C 28%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
13°C or below
$5 Vol.
59%
14°C
$5 Vol.
17%
15°C
$0 Vol.
3%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$20 Vol.
49%
22°C
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Milan on September 3 around 19–22°C under clear skies and light winds, supporting the leading market-implied probabilities clustered near 20–23°C.** High-pressure dominance and a warm airmass have produced above-average temperatures, with daytime highs projected near 32°C limiting nocturnal cooling. Ensemble spreads reflect typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, keeping 17°C and sub-13°C outcomes viable but less favored. Historical September minima average near 17–19°C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly that traders are pricing through skin-in-the-game consensus ahead of the final model runs before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$40Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Milan on September 3 around 19–22°C under clear skies and light winds, supporting the leading market-implied probabilities clustered near 20–23°C.** High-pressure dominance and a warm airmass have produced above-average temperatures, with daytime highs projected near 32°C limiting nocturnal cooling. Ensemble spreads reflect typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, keeping 17°C and sub-13°C outcomes viable but less favored. Historical September minima average near 17–19°C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly that traders are pricing through skin-in-the-game consensus ahead of the final model runs before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Milan on September 3 around 19–22°C under clear skies and light winds, supporting the leading market-implied probabilities clustered near 20–23°C.** High-pressure dominance and a warm airmass have produced above-average temperatures, with daytime highs projected near 32°C limiting nocturnal cooling. Ensemble spreads reflect typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, keeping 17°C and sub-13°C outcomes viable but less favored. Historical September minima average near 17–19°C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly that traders are pricing through skin-in-the-game consensus ahead of the final model runs before the date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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