**Current forecasts for New York City point to an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit on August 15, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes around 70–73°F.** National Weather Service and private models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and elevated dew points near 68–70°F, which limit radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures in that range. Recent observations from Central Park show overnight lows holding in the upper 60s amid a warmer-than-average August pattern driven by a persistent subtropical ridge. Climatologically, mid-August NYC lows average near 68–69°F, but the current setup favors values 2–4°F above normal unless stronger northerly flow develops. Model consensus remains stable with minimal spread, though any increase in cloud cover or wind overnight could nudge readings lower toward 66–68°F. Traders appear to be pricing in the latest guidance showing persistent warmth rather than rapid cooling, with resolution hinging on the official NWS minimum reported for the calendar day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 15 de agosto?
70-71°F 44%
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 15%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
57°F ou menos
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
16%
76°F ou mais
4%
70-71°F 44%
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 15%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
57°F ou menos
$15 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$20 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$25 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$130 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$48 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$43 Vol.
15%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
44%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
28%
74-75°F
$22 Vol.
16%
76°F ou mais
$30 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for New York City point to an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit on August 15, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes around 70–73°F.**
National Weather Service and private models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and elevated dew points near 68–70°F, which limit radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures in that range. Recent observations from Central Park show overnight lows holding in the upper 60s amid a warmer-than-average August pattern driven by a persistent subtropical ridge.
Climatologically, mid-August NYC lows average near 68–69°F, but the current setup favors values 2–4°F above normal unless stronger northerly flow develops. Model consensus remains stable with minimal spread, though any increase in cloud cover or wind overnight could nudge readings lower toward 66–68°F. Traders appear to be pricing in the latest guidance showing persistent warmth rather than rapid cooling, with resolution hinging on the official NWS minimum reported for the calendar day.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$338Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for New York City point to an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit on August 15, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes around 70–73°F.**
National Weather Service and private models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and elevated dew points near 68–70°F, which limit radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures in that range. Recent observations from Central Park show overnight lows holding in the upper 60s amid a warmer-than-average August pattern driven by a persistent subtropical ridge.
Climatologically, mid-August NYC lows average near 68–69°F, but the current setup favors values 2–4°F above normal unless stronger northerly flow develops. Model consensus remains stable with minimal spread, though any increase in cloud cover or wind overnight could nudge readings lower toward 66–68°F. Traders appear to be pricing in the latest guidance showing persistent warmth rather than rapid cooling, with resolution hinging on the official NWS minimum reported for the calendar day.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$338Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for New York City point to an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit on August 15, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes around 70–73°F.** National Weather Service and private models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and elevated dew points near 68–70°F, which limit radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures in that range. Recent observations from Central Park show overnight lows holding in the upper 60s amid a warmer-than-average August pattern driven by a persistent subtropical ridge. Climatologically, mid-August NYC lows average near 68–69°F, but the current setup favors values 2–4°F above normal unless stronger northerly flow develops. Model consensus remains stable with minimal spread, though any increase in cloud cover or wind overnight could nudge readings lower toward 66–68°F. Traders appear to be pricing in the latest guidance showing persistent warmth rather than rapid cooling, with resolution hinging on the official NWS minimum reported for the calendar day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions