Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a minimum temperature near 23°C in Tokyo on August 16, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 23–24°C. Typical August overnight lows average 24°C, but persistent summer heat and the urban heat island effect can elevate baselines, while incoming cloud cover and scattered showers limit overnight radiative cooling and moderate extremes. Recent model consensus shows highs of 30–32°C with humidity above 70 percent, supporting trader focus on the narrow 22–25°C range rather than outliers. Resolution hinges on official JMA observations at the Tokyo station, with any last-minute frontal shifts potentially influencing the final minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 16 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 16 de agosto?
24°C 49%
23°C 28%
22°C 8%
25°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
28%
24°C
49%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
24°C 49%
23°C 28%
22°C 8%
25°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
18°C ou menos
$274 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$417 Vol.
2%
22°C
$1,013 Vol.
8%
23°C
$2,525 Vol.
28%
24°C
$1,598 Vol.
49%
25°C
$364 Vol.
7%
26°C
$124 Vol.
1%
27°C
$218 Vol.
<1%
28°C ou mais
$246 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a minimum temperature near 23°C in Tokyo on August 16, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 23–24°C. Typical August overnight lows average 24°C, but persistent summer heat and the urban heat island effect can elevate baselines, while incoming cloud cover and scattered showers limit overnight radiative cooling and moderate extremes. Recent model consensus shows highs of 30–32°C with humidity above 70 percent, supporting trader focus on the narrow 22–25°C range rather than outliers. Resolution hinges on official JMA observations at the Tokyo station, with any last-minute frontal shifts potentially influencing the final minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$7,177Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a minimum temperature near 23°C in Tokyo on August 16, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 23–24°C. Typical August overnight lows average 24°C, but persistent summer heat and the urban heat island effect can elevate baselines, while incoming cloud cover and scattered showers limit overnight radiative cooling and moderate extremes. Recent model consensus shows highs of 30–32°C with humidity above 70 percent, supporting trader focus on the narrow 22–25°C range rather than outliers. Resolution hinges on official JMA observations at the Tokyo station, with any last-minute frontal shifts potentially influencing the final minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,177Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a minimum temperature near 23°C in Tokyo on August 16, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 23–24°C. Typical August overnight lows average 24°C, but persistent summer heat and the urban heat island effect can elevate baselines, while incoming cloud cover and scattered showers limit overnight radiative cooling and moderate extremes. Recent model consensus shows highs of 30–32°C with humidity above 70 percent, supporting trader focus on the narrow 22–25°C range rather than outliers. Resolution hinges on official JMA observations at the Tokyo station, with any last-minute frontal shifts potentially influencing the final minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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