Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models position the overnight low in San Francisco on August 24 near 58–59°F, driving the 47.5% market-implied probability for that bin as the consensus outcome. Persistent onshore flow and a strong marine layer typical of late summer keep temperatures moderated by the cold California Current, limiting radiative cooling despite clear skies. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this range, with historical August lows averaging 55–60°F providing supporting context. Key resolution factors include official minimum readings at downtown or airport stations before sunrise, and traders are monitoring any last-minute shifts in wind or cloud cover that could push values into the adjacent 56–57°F or 60–61°F brackets.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Francisco em 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em São Francisco em 24 de agosto?
58-59°F 48%
49°F ou menos 46%
50-51°F 25%
60-61°F 22%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
49°F ou menos
46%
50-51°F
25%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
9%
56-57°F
14%
58-59°F
48%
60-61°F
22%
62-63°F
15%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F ou mais
<1%
58-59°F 48%
49°F ou menos 46%
50-51°F 25%
60-61°F 22%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
49°F ou menos
$60 Vol.
46%
50-51°F
$60 Vol.
25%
52-53°F
$6 Vol.
16%
54-55°F
$6 Vol.
9%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
14%
58-59°F
$5 Vol.
48%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
22%
62-63°F
$65 Vol.
15%
64-65°F
$70 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
68°F ou mais
$190 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models position the overnight low in San Francisco on August 24 near 58–59°F, driving the 47.5% market-implied probability for that bin as the consensus outcome. Persistent onshore flow and a strong marine layer typical of late summer keep temperatures moderated by the cold California Current, limiting radiative cooling despite clear skies. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this range, with historical August lows averaging 55–60°F providing supporting context. Key resolution factors include official minimum readings at downtown or airport stations before sunrise, and traders are monitoring any last-minute shifts in wind or cloud cover that could push values into the adjacent 56–57°F or 60–61°F brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$467Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models position the overnight low in San Francisco on August 24 near 58–59°F, driving the 47.5% market-implied probability for that bin as the consensus outcome. Persistent onshore flow and a strong marine layer typical of late summer keep temperatures moderated by the cold California Current, limiting radiative cooling despite clear skies. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this range, with historical August lows averaging 55–60°F providing supporting context. Key resolution factors include official minimum readings at downtown or airport stations before sunrise, and traders are monitoring any last-minute shifts in wind or cloud cover that could push values into the adjacent 56–57°F or 60–61°F brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$467Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models position the overnight low in San Francisco on August 24 near 58–59°F, driving the 47.5% market-implied probability for that bin as the consensus outcome. Persistent onshore flow and a strong marine layer typical of late summer keep temperatures moderated by the cold California Current, limiting radiative cooling despite clear skies. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this range, with historical August lows averaging 55–60°F providing supporting context. Key resolution factors include official minimum readings at downtown or airport stations before sunrise, and traders are monitoring any last-minute shifts in wind or cloud cover that could push values into the adjacent 56–57°F or 60–61°F brackets.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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