Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Seoul’s morning low on June 15 will reach 19°C under stable early-summer conditions with light winds and minimal overnight cooling. This aligns with seasonal baselines for mid-June, when typical overnight lows range 18–20°C ahead of daytime highs near 30°C, and current observations show no incoming cold fronts or anomalous humidity shifts. Traders assign 99% implied probability to 19°C because multiple model runs and real-time station data converge tightly on this value, with resolution tied to the official daily minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. Only an unexpected late surge in northerly flow or instrumentation revision could realistically alter the outcome before final reporting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul em 15 de junho?
19°C 99.6%
18°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$21,596 Vol.
$21,596 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 99.6%
18°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$21,596 Vol.
$21,596 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Seoul’s morning low on June 15 will reach 19°C under stable early-summer conditions with light winds and minimal overnight cooling. This aligns with seasonal baselines for mid-June, when typical overnight lows range 18–20°C ahead of daytime highs near 30°C, and current observations show no incoming cold fronts or anomalous humidity shifts. Traders assign 99% implied probability to 19°C because multiple model runs and real-time station data converge tightly on this value, with resolution tied to the official daily minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. Only an unexpected late surge in northerly flow or instrumentation revision could realistically alter the outcome before final reporting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions