Official forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on September 14 will reach 8°C overnight, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light northerly flow, and moderate radiative cooling under seasonal spring conditions. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-September, where typical lows range 7–10°C absent strong cold advection or frontal passages. Market-implied odds of 90.5% on 8°C reflect strong trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns and recent model runs showing limited variability. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected wind shifts or thicker cloud cover altering the cooling rate, though current observations and short-range guidance make significant deviation improbable before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wellington em 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Wellington em 14 de setembro?
8°C 99.5%
7°C 2%
4°C ou menos <1%
5°C <1%
$1,477 Vol.
$1,477 Vol.
14 set 2026
4°C ou menos
Não
5°C
Não
6°C
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Sim
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C ou mais
Não
8°C 99.5%
7°C 2%
4°C ou menos <1%
5°C <1%
$1,477 Vol.
$1,477 Vol.
14 set 2026
4°C ou menos
$16 Vol.
Não
5°C
$76 Vol.
Não
6°C
$90 Vol.
Não
7°C
$67 Vol.
Não
8°C
$77 Vol.
Sim
9°C
$336 Vol.
Não
10°C
$700 Vol.
Não
11°C
$5 Vol.
Não
12°C
$0 Vol.
Não
13°C
$0 Vol.
Não
14°C ou mais
$110 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on September 14 will reach 8°C overnight, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light northerly flow, and moderate radiative cooling under seasonal spring conditions. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-September, where typical lows range 7–10°C absent strong cold advection or frontal passages. Market-implied odds of 90.5% on 8°C reflect strong trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns and recent model runs showing limited variability. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected wind shifts or thicker cloud cover altering the cooling rate, though current observations and short-range guidance make significant deviation improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,477Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on September 14 will reach 8°C overnight, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light northerly flow, and moderate radiative cooling under seasonal spring conditions. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-September, where typical lows range 7–10°C absent strong cold advection or frontal passages. Market-implied odds of 90.5% on 8°C reflect strong trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns and recent model runs showing limited variability. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected wind shifts or thicker cloud cover altering the cooling rate, though current observations and short-range guidance make significant deviation improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,477Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on September 14 will reach 8°C overnight, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light northerly flow, and moderate radiative cooling under seasonal spring conditions. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-September, where typical lows range 7–10°C absent strong cold advection or frontal passages. Market-implied odds of 90.5% on 8°C reflect strong trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns and recent model runs showing limited variability. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected wind shifts or thicker cloud cover altering the cooling rate, though current observations and short-range guidance make significant deviation improbable before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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