Mojtaba Khamenei was installed as Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts shortly after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes that triggered wider regional conflict. As head of state, he has remained based in Tehran, issuing statements through state media on issues including regional security and U.S. military presence while avoiding public appearances amid ongoing hostilities. No verified reports indicate plans for departure, and the position's institutional demands plus regime continuity needs during active warfare have kept him in country. The June 30, 2026 resolution window leaves limited time for any sudden exit without major disruption to leadership succession or command structures. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and absence of catalysts for relocation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$1,797,061 Vol.
30 de junho
2%
$1,797,061 Vol.
30 de junho
2%
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was installed as Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts shortly after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes that triggered wider regional conflict. As head of state, he has remained based in Tehran, issuing statements through state media on issues including regional security and U.S. military presence while avoiding public appearances amid ongoing hostilities. No verified reports indicate plans for departure, and the position's institutional demands plus regime continuity needs during active warfare have kept him in country. The June 30, 2026 resolution window leaves limited time for any sudden exit without major disruption to leadership succession or command structures. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and absence of catalysts for relocation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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