OpenAI’s latest $852 billion private valuation from its March 2026 funding round, paired with roughly $2 billion in monthly revenue run-rate, underpins the 58.6% market-implied probability of reaching $1 trillion-plus this year. Traders are weighing rapid large language model scaling and enterprise adoption against CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion IPO floor, which prompted a June 2026 shift toward a potential 2027 debut rather than accepting a lower public valuation. Continued infrastructure spending, competitive pressure from other AI labs, and the uncertain timing of any public listing remain the key swing factors for resolution by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOpenAI $ 1T+ avaliação em 2026?
OpenAI $ 1T+ avaliação em 2026?
Sim
48% chance
$26,930 Vol.
$26,930 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
48% chance
$26,930 Vol.
$26,930 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s latest $852 billion private valuation from its March 2026 funding round, paired with roughly $2 billion in monthly revenue run-rate, underpins the 58.6% market-implied probability of reaching $1 trillion-plus this year. Traders are weighing rapid large language model scaling and enterprise adoption against CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion IPO floor, which prompted a June 2026 shift toward a potential 2027 debut rather than accepting a lower public valuation. Continued infrastructure spending, competitive pressure from other AI labs, and the uncertain timing of any public listing remain the key swing factors for resolution by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
Volume
$26,930Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s latest $852 billion private valuation from its March 2026 funding round, paired with roughly $2 billion in monthly revenue run-rate, underpins the 58.6% market-implied probability of reaching $1 trillion-plus this year. Traders are weighing rapid large language model scaling and enterprise adoption against CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion IPO floor, which prompted a June 2026 shift toward a potential 2027 debut rather than accepting a lower public valuation. Continued infrastructure spending, competitive pressure from other AI labs, and the uncertain timing of any public listing remain the key swing factors for resolution by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,930Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s latest $852 billion private valuation from its March 2026 funding round, paired with roughly $2 billion in monthly revenue run-rate, underpins the 58.6% market-implied probability of reaching $1 trillion-plus this year. Traders are weighing rapid large language model scaling and enterprise adoption against CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion IPO floor, which prompted a June 2026 shift toward a potential 2027 debut rather than accepting a lower public valuation. Continued infrastructure spending, competitive pressure from other AI labs, and the uncertain timing of any public listing remain the key swing factors for resolution by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions