Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Pernambuco
Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Pernambuco

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Pernambuco
Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Pernambuco

Raquel Lyra 58%

João Campos 33%

Ivan Moraes <1%

Polymarket

$49,062 Vol.

Raquel Lyra 58%

João Campos 33%

Ivan Moraes <1%

Polymarket

$49,062 Vol.

icon for Raquel Lyra

Raquel Lyra

$23,021 Vol.

58%

João Campos

$20,682 Vol.

34%

Ivan Moraes

$5,359 Vol.

<1%

The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads Polymarket pricing at 60.5% amid a closely contested race against João Campos (PSB) at 34.0%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and other minor candidates near zero.** Recent September 2026 surveys from Datafolha and Real Time Big Data show the two frontrunners in a technical tie or within margins in first-round voting, with Lyra at 43-47% and Campos at 42-44%. Lyra draws strength from statewide incumbency advantages outside the Recife metro area and established programs on education and social services, while Campos leverages strong urban support and family political legacy. The October 4 first round, with a possible October 25 runoff, keeps outcomes fluid as campaigns exchange policy contrasts and accusations. Trader consensus reflects Lyra’s structural edge despite polling volatility.

The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$49,062
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads Polymarket pricing at 60.5% amid a closely contested race against João Campos (PSB) at 34.0%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and other minor candidates near zero.** Recent September 2026 surveys from Datafolha and Real Time Big Data show the two frontrunners in a technical tie or within margins in first-round voting, with Lyra at 43-47% and Campos at 42-44%. Lyra draws strength from statewide incumbency advantages outside the Recife metro area and established programs on education and social services, while Campos leverages strong urban support and family political legacy. The October 4 first round, with a possible October 25 runoff, keeps outcomes fluid as campaigns exchange policy contrasts and accusations. Trader consensus reflects Lyra’s structural edge despite polling volatility.

The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$49,062
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

icon for Lucas Ribeiro vai ganhar a eleição para governador da Paraíba?

Lucas Ribeiro vai ganhar a eleição para governador da Paraíba?

83%
Sim
icon for Eduardo Braide vai ganhar a eleição para governador do Maranhão?

Eduardo Braide vai ganhar a eleição para governador do Maranhão?

74%
Sim
icon for Fábio vencerá a eleição para governador de Sergipe em 2026?

Fábio vencerá a eleição para governador de Sergipe em 2026?

78%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Pernambuco" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Raquel Lyra" at 58%, followed by "João Campos" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Pernambuco" has generated $49.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Pernambuco," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Pernambuco" is "Raquel Lyra" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "João Campos" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Pernambuco" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.