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Eleições·Primárias

SC-01 Vencedor da primária republicana

icon for SC-01 Vencedor da primária republicana
Eleições·Primárias

SC-01 Vencedor da primária republicana

Mark Smith 75%

Alex Pelbath 11%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt 7.4%

Sam McCown 3.9%

Polymarket

$19,872 Vol.

Mark Smith 75%

Alex Pelbath 11%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt 7.4%

Sam McCown 3.9%

Polymarket

$19,872 Vol.

Mark Smith

$8,389 Vol.

75%

Alex Pelbath

$2,988 Vol.

11%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

$1,078 Vol.

10%

Sam McCown

$3,273 Vol.

4%

Jay Byars

$915 Vol.

3%

Jack Ellison

$1,018 Vol.

1%

Logan Cunningham

$804 Vol.

<1%

Justin Myers

$684 Vol.

<1%

Dan Brown

$722 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the SC-01 Republican primary as the only sitting state representative in the field, bolstered by stronger fundraising totals and higher visibility in local forums compared to challengers. Recent candidate debates, including the May 28 event on Hilton Head, highlighted contrasts over legislative records and redistricting votes, with Alex Pelbath pressing Smith on abstentions while emphasizing his own Air Force background and Afghanistan mission experience. Jenny Costa Honeycutt, Sam McCown, and Jay Byars trail in both cash raised and straw poll results from April, reflecting limited momentum four days before the June 9 primary. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and polling factors ahead of the vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$19,872
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the SC-01 Republican primary as the only sitting state representative in the field, bolstered by stronger fundraising totals and higher visibility in local forums compared to challengers. Recent candidate debates, including the May 28 event on Hilton Head, highlighted contrasts over legislative records and redistricting votes, with Alex Pelbath pressing Smith on abstentions while emphasizing his own Air Force background and Afghanistan mission experience. Jenny Costa Honeycutt, Sam McCown, and Jay Byars trail in both cash raised and straw poll results from April, reflecting limited momentum four days before the June 9 primary. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and polling factors ahead of the vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$19,872
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"SC-01 Vencedor da primária republicana" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mark Smith" at 75%, followed by "Alex Pelbath" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SC-01 Vencedor da primária republicana" has generated $19.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SC-01 Vencedor da primária republicana," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SC-01 Vencedor da primária republicana" is "Mark Smith" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alex Pelbath" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SC-01 Vencedor da primária republicana" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.