South Carolina's open gubernatorial contest, following term limits on incumbent Henry McMaster, features Republican nominee Alan Wilson facing Democrat Jermaine Johnson in the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Republican an overwhelming 91.5% implied probability due to the state's consistent Republican lean, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin and multiple forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Recent primaries produced clear nominees without major disruptions, reinforcing expectations of continued GOP control of the governorship in a state with limited recent Democratic success in statewide races. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas, late scandals affecting the Republican nominee, or national political shifts altering voter sentiment before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$15,839 Vol.
$15,839 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
92%
Democrata
9%
$15,839 Vol.
$15,839 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$8,882 Vol.
92%
Democrata
$6,957 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's open gubernatorial contest, following term limits on incumbent Henry McMaster, features Republican nominee Alan Wilson facing Democrat Jermaine Johnson in the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Republican an overwhelming 91.5% implied probability due to the state's consistent Republican lean, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin and multiple forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Recent primaries produced clear nominees without major disruptions, reinforcing expectations of continued GOP control of the governorship in a state with limited recent Democratic success in statewide races. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas, late scandals affecting the Republican nominee, or national political shifts altering voter sentiment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$15,839Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's open gubernatorial contest, following term limits on incumbent Henry McMaster, features Republican nominee Alan Wilson facing Democrat Jermaine Johnson in the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Republican an overwhelming 91.5% implied probability due to the state's consistent Republican lean, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin and multiple forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Recent primaries produced clear nominees without major disruptions, reinforcing expectations of continued GOP control of the governorship in a state with limited recent Democratic success in statewide races. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas, late scandals affecting the Republican nominee, or national political shifts altering voter sentiment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$15,839Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's open gubernatorial contest, following term limits on incumbent Henry McMaster, features Republican nominee Alan Wilson facing Democrat Jermaine Johnson in the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Republican an overwhelming 91.5% implied probability due to the state's consistent Republican lean, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin and multiple forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Recent primaries produced clear nominees without major disruptions, reinforcing expectations of continued GOP control of the governorship in a state with limited recent Democratic success in statewide races. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas, late scandals affecting the Republican nominee, or national political shifts altering voter sentiment before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions