Tennessee's strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent federal contests and no Democratic U.S. Senate victory since 1990, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Bill Hagerty faces no opposition in the August 6 Republican primary while pursuing a second term, whereas the Democratic primary features multiple candidates with limited statewide name recognition or prior success in this race. Election forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with historical turnout patterns and the state's electoral math. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Democratic wave, or a late surge by the eventual Democratic nominee in key suburban areas, though such shifts would represent significant departures from established voting trends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$24,668 Vol.
$24,668 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
96%
Democrata
2%
$24,668 Vol.
$24,668 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$14,806 Vol.
96%
Democrata
$9,861 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent federal contests and no Democratic U.S. Senate victory since 1990, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Bill Hagerty faces no opposition in the August 6 Republican primary while pursuing a second term, whereas the Democratic primary features multiple candidates with limited statewide name recognition or prior success in this race. Election forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with historical turnout patterns and the state's electoral math. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Democratic wave, or a late surge by the eventual Democratic nominee in key suburban areas, though such shifts would represent significant departures from established voting trends.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$24,668Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent federal contests and no Democratic U.S. Senate victory since 1990, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Bill Hagerty faces no opposition in the August 6 Republican primary while pursuing a second term, whereas the Democratic primary features multiple candidates with limited statewide name recognition or prior success in this race. Election forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with historical turnout patterns and the state's electoral math. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Democratic wave, or a late surge by the eventual Democratic nominee in key suburban areas, though such shifts would represent significant departures from established voting trends.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$24,668Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent federal contests and no Democratic U.S. Senate victory since 1990, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Bill Hagerty faces no opposition in the August 6 Republican primary while pursuing a second term, whereas the Democratic primary features multiple candidates with limited statewide name recognition or prior success in this race. Election forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with historical turnout patterns and the state's electoral math. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Democratic wave, or a late surge by the eventual Democratic nominee in key suburban areas, though such shifts would represent significant departures from established voting trends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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