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Política·México

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Michoacán

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Michoacán
Política·México

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Michoacán

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar 90%

Carlos Herrera Tello 30%

Guillermo Valencia Reyes 29%

Raúl Morón Orozco 26%

Polymarket
NOVO

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar 90%

Carlos Herrera Tello 30%

Guillermo Valencia Reyes 29%

Raúl Morón Orozco 26%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Alfonso Martínez Alcázar

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar

$47 Vol.

90%

icon for Carlos Herrera Tello

Carlos Herrera Tello

$62 Vol.

30%

icon for Guillermo Valencia Reyes

Guillermo Valencia Reyes

$62 Vol.

29%

icon for Raúl Morón Orozco

Raúl Morón Orozco

$62 Vol.

26%

icon for Marko Cortés Mendoza

Marko Cortés Mendoza

$62 Vol.

23%

icon for Fabiola Alanís Sámano

Fabiola Alanís Sámano

$62 Vol.

22%

icon for Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz

Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz

$62 Vol.

21%

icon for Esteban González Nava

Esteban González Nava

$62 Vol.

9%

icon for Gabriela Molina Aguilar

Gabriela Molina Aguilar

$62 Vol.

7%

icon for Ernesto Núñez Aguilar

Ernesto Núñez Aguilar

$83 Vol.

7%

icon for Víctor Manuel Manríquez

Víctor Manuel Manríquez

$62 Vol.

6%

icon for Edna Martínez Nambo

Edna Martínez Nambo

$62 Vol.

6%

icon for Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes

Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes

$83 Vol.

6%

icon for Germán Martínez Cázares

Germán Martínez Cázares

$62 Vol.

6%

icon for Daniela de los Santos

Daniela de los Santos

$83 Vol.

6%

icon for Gladyz Butanda Macías

Gladyz Butanda Macías

$62 Vol.

5%

icon for Celeste Ascencio Ortega

Celeste Ascencio Ortega

$62 Vol.

5%

icon for Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza

Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza

$62 Vol.

5%

icon for Grecia Quiroz

Grecia Quiroz

$62 Vol.

3%

icon for Carlos Torres Piña

Carlos Torres Piña

$62 Vol.

2%

icon for Adriana Hernández Íñiguez

Adriana Hernández Íñiguez

$62 Vol.

2%

icon for Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna

Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna

$62 Vol.

-

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Alfonso Martínez Alcázar holds the highest implied probability in the fragmented Michoacán gubernatorial field ahead of the June 2027 election, reflecting early polling leads of 27-32% against competitors including Raúl Morón Orozco and Guillermo Valencia Reyes. Multiple parties continue positioning candidates from Morena, PAN, and smaller groups, with high undecided shares and no consolidated frontrunner sustaining tight probabilities across contenders. Recent surveys through July 2026 show persistent division among voters, while the open seat and ongoing coalition dynamics limit separation until primaries clarify nominees. Upcoming party selections and further polling could shift trader consensus by highlighting viable paths to a majority.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,420
Data de Término
6 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Alfonso Martínez Alcázar holds the highest implied probability in the fragmented Michoacán gubernatorial field ahead of the June 2027 election, reflecting early polling leads of 27-32% against competitors including Raúl Morón Orozco and Guillermo Valencia Reyes. Multiple parties continue positioning candidates from Morena, PAN, and smaller groups, with high undecided shares and no consolidated frontrunner sustaining tight probabilities across contenders. Recent surveys through July 2026 show persistent division among voters, while the open seat and ongoing coalition dynamics limit separation until primaries clarify nominees. Upcoming party selections and further polling could shift trader consensus by highlighting viable paths to a majority.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,420
Data de Término
6 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Michoacán" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alfonso Martínez Alcázar" at 45%, followed by "Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Michoacán" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Michoacán," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Michoacán" is "Alfonso Martínez Alcázar" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Michoacán" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.