Pakistan's Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir visited Tehran on April 15, delivering a new U.S. message to Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi amid urgent efforts to schedule a second round of direct U.S.-Iran talks before the April 22 ceasefire deadline. The first Islamabad negotiations on April 10-12, hosted by Pakistan, featured U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance, envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner meeting Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Araghchi, but ended inconclusively with terse statements. Traders price Witkoff at 87% implied probability to meet Iranian officials again by April 30, reflecting his role as lead negotiator on nuclear curbs and Strait of Hormuz access, bolstered by ongoing mediation and White House signals for de-escalation. A French-led Élysée conference on April 17 could influence dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
$102,394 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Donald Trump
7%
J.D. Vance
75%
Marco Rubio
8%
Jared Kushner
73%
Steve Witkoff
82%
$102,394 Vol.
Donald Trump
$85,476 Vol.
7%
J.D. Vance
$7,320 Vol.
75%
Marco Rubio
$5,072 Vol.
8%
Jared Kushner
$1,283 Vol.
73%
Steve Witkoff
$3,242 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Pakistan's Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir visited Tehran on April 15, delivering a new U.S. message to Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi amid urgent efforts to schedule a second round of direct U.S.-Iran talks before the April 22 ceasefire deadline. The first Islamabad negotiations on April 10-12, hosted by Pakistan, featured U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance, envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner meeting Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Araghchi, but ended inconclusively with terse statements. Traders price Witkoff at 87% implied probability to meet Iranian officials again by April 30, reflecting his role as lead negotiator on nuclear curbs and Strait of Hormuz access, bolstered by ongoing mediation and White House signals for de-escalation. A French-led Élysée conference on April 17 could influence dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volume
$102,394Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Pakistan's Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir visited Tehran on April 15, delivering a new U.S. message to Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi amid urgent efforts to schedule a second round of direct U.S.-Iran talks before the April 22 ceasefire deadline. The first Islamabad negotiations on April 10-12, hosted by Pakistan, featured U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance, envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner meeting Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Araghchi, but ended inconclusively with terse statements. Traders price Witkoff at 87% implied probability to meet Iranian officials again by April 30, reflecting his role as lead negotiator on nuclear curbs and Strait of Hormuz access, bolstered by ongoing mediation and White House signals for de-escalation. A French-led Élysée conference on April 17 could influence dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$102,394Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pakistan's Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir visited Tehran on April 15, delivering a new U.S. message to Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi amid urgent efforts to schedule a second round of direct U.S.-Iran talks before the April 22 ceasefire deadline. The first Islamabad negotiations on April 10-12, hosted by Pakistan, featured U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance, envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner meeting Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Araghchi, but ended inconclusively with terse statements. Traders price Witkoff at 87% implied probability to meet Iranian officials again by April 30, reflecting his role as lead negotiator on nuclear curbs and Strait of Hormuz access, bolstered by ongoing mediation and White House signals for de-escalation. A French-led Élysée conference on April 17 could influence dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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