Russian forces maintain pressure in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast through repeated infantry assaults and infiltration attempts, yet confirmed advances remain limited as of mid-September 2026. Ukrainian units report repelling dozens of daily attacks near Serhiivka, Bilytske, and approaches toward Dobropillia, with heavy use of drones and artillery disrupting Russian movements. ISW assessments note ongoing experimentation with small assault groups but no operationally significant gains northwest or west of the previously captured Pokrovsk area. Pokrovskoe, located in adjacent Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, lies beyond current Russian-controlled lines, and trader probabilities reflect the slow pace of advance, high reported casualties, and Ukrainian defensive resilience. Scheduled developments include continued frontline engagements and potential shifts in Russian tactics or Ukrainian reinforcements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA Rússia entrará em Pokrovskoe até...?
$102,735 Vol.
December 31
19%
$102,735 Vol.
December 31
19%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: May 27, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces maintain pressure in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast through repeated infantry assaults and infiltration attempts, yet confirmed advances remain limited as of mid-September 2026. Ukrainian units report repelling dozens of daily attacks near Serhiivka, Bilytske, and approaches toward Dobropillia, with heavy use of drones and artillery disrupting Russian movements. ISW assessments note ongoing experimentation with small assault groups but no operationally significant gains northwest or west of the previously captured Pokrovsk area. Pokrovskoe, located in adjacent Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, lies beyond current Russian-controlled lines, and trader probabilities reflect the slow pace of advance, high reported casualties, and Ukrainian defensive resilience. Scheduled developments include continued frontline engagements and potential shifts in Russian tactics or Ukrainian reinforcements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions