UAE participation in GCC summits, joint defense coordination, and economic initiatives such as the planned unified tourist visa have reinforced institutional ties through September 2026, despite strains from the UAE’s April OPEC and OPEC+ exit and public criticism of collective security responses during Iranian strikes. Bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia over Yemen, Sudan, and regional influence persist, yet no official statements, diplomatic moves, or procedural steps signal an intent to withdraw. Traders assign the “No” outcome a 94% implied probability because membership continues to deliver tangible benefits in trade facilitation, security dialogue, and regional stability mechanisms, outweighing episodic divergences within the current resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOs Emirados Árabes Unidos deixarão o Conselho de Cooperação do Golfo em 2026?
Os Emirados Árabes Unidos deixarão o Conselho de Cooperação do Golfo em 2026?
Sim
6% chance
$100,938 Vol.
$100,938 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
6% chance
$100,938 Vol.
$100,938 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UAE participation in GCC summits, joint defense coordination, and economic initiatives such as the planned unified tourist visa have reinforced institutional ties through September 2026, despite strains from the UAE’s April OPEC and OPEC+ exit and public criticism of collective security responses during Iranian strikes. Bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia over Yemen, Sudan, and regional influence persist, yet no official statements, diplomatic moves, or procedural steps signal an intent to withdraw. Traders assign the “No” outcome a 94% implied probability because membership continues to deliver tangible benefits in trade facilitation, security dialogue, and regional stability mechanisms, outweighing episodic divergences within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Volume
$100,938Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UAE participation in GCC summits, joint defense coordination, and economic initiatives such as the planned unified tourist visa have reinforced institutional ties through September 2026, despite strains from the UAE’s April OPEC and OPEC+ exit and public criticism of collective security responses during Iranian strikes. Bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia over Yemen, Sudan, and regional influence persist, yet no official statements, diplomatic moves, or procedural steps signal an intent to withdraw. Traders assign the “No” outcome a 94% implied probability because membership continues to deliver tangible benefits in trade facilitation, security dialogue, and regional stability mechanisms, outweighing episodic divergences within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$100,938Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...UAE participation in GCC summits, joint defense coordination, and economic initiatives such as the planned unified tourist visa have reinforced institutional ties through September 2026, despite strains from the UAE’s April OPEC and OPEC+ exit and public criticism of collective security responses during Iranian strikes. Bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia over Yemen, Sudan, and regional influence persist, yet no official statements, diplomatic moves, or procedural steps signal an intent to withdraw. Traders assign the “No” outcome a 94% implied probability because membership continues to deliver tangible benefits in trade facilitation, security dialogue, and regional stability mechanisms, outweighing episodic divergences within the current resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions