OPEC and its OPEC+ partners continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings and production quota adjustments as of September 2026, including the recent decision to hold October output steady while preparing 2027 baselines. Core members such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iraq maintain the group's operational framework despite the UAE's May departure and isolated quota disputes, consistent with the organization's historical adaptation to member exits like Angola's in 2023. Trader consensus against dissolution reflects this sustained institutional activity and lack of coordinated withdrawal momentum. Potential shifts could arise from additional departures or major geopolitical escalations disrupting remaining coordination, though structural barriers and ongoing market management make full dissolution by year-end improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA OPEP se dissolve em 2026?
A OPEP se dissolve em 2026?
Sim
3% chance
$36,499 Vol.
$36,499 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
3% chance
$36,499 Vol.
$36,499 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC and its OPEC+ partners continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings and production quota adjustments as of September 2026, including the recent decision to hold October output steady while preparing 2027 baselines. Core members such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iraq maintain the group's operational framework despite the UAE's May departure and isolated quota disputes, consistent with the organization's historical adaptation to member exits like Angola's in 2023. Trader consensus against dissolution reflects this sustained institutional activity and lack of coordinated withdrawal momentum. Potential shifts could arise from additional departures or major geopolitical escalations disrupting remaining coordination, though structural barriers and ongoing market management make full dissolution by year-end improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Volume
$36,499Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC and its OPEC+ partners continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings and production quota adjustments as of September 2026, including the recent decision to hold October output steady while preparing 2027 baselines. Core members such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iraq maintain the group's operational framework despite the UAE's May departure and isolated quota disputes, consistent with the organization's historical adaptation to member exits like Angola's in 2023. Trader consensus against dissolution reflects this sustained institutional activity and lack of coordinated withdrawal momentum. Potential shifts could arise from additional departures or major geopolitical escalations disrupting remaining coordination, though structural barriers and ongoing market management make full dissolution by year-end improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,499Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OPEC and its OPEC+ partners continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings and production quota adjustments as of September 2026, including the recent decision to hold October output steady while preparing 2027 baselines. Core members such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iraq maintain the group's operational framework despite the UAE's May departure and isolated quota disputes, consistent with the organization's historical adaptation to member exits like Angola's in 2023. Trader consensus against dissolution reflects this sustained institutional activity and lack of coordinated withdrawal momentum. Potential shifts could arise from additional departures or major geopolitical escalations disrupting remaining coordination, though structural barriers and ongoing market management make full dissolution by year-end improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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