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InteligêNcia Artificial previsões e probabilidades

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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

15%

$65.6K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

8

Ends em 8 meses

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

95%

$46.8K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

28

Ends em 8 meses

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

60%

June 30

$116K Vol.

$62.4K Liq.

6

Ends em 2 meses

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

15%

$8.5K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

71%

$4.7K Vol.

$353 Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

99%

Good Afternoon

$199K Vol.

$203K Liq.

9

Ends há cerca de 9 horas

What will be said on ICEMAN?

What will be said on ICEMAN?

90%

Covid

$34.7K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

7

Ends em 16 dias

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)

100%

Oil

$23.2K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

3

Ends em 4 dias

What will Trump post this week? (April 27 - May 3)

What will Trump post this week? (April 27 - May 3)

76%

Blockade

$1.5K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

18%

December 31, 2026

$253K Vol.

$333 Liq.

32

Ends há 4 meses

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

93%

1560

$2.4K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

2%

$104K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

70%

1560

$7.2K Vol.

$353 Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

28%

$97.3K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

76

Ends em 8 meses

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

16%

$57.4K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue April 27-May 3?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue April 27-May 3?

78%

OpenAI

$2.0K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

94%

1525

$1.9K Vol.

$968 Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

44%

50%+

$20.8K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

1

Ends em 2 meses

Which AI company will have the highest revenue April 27-May 3?

Which AI company will have the highest revenue April 27-May 3?

99%

Anthropic

$2.6K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like InteligêNcia Artificial.

Polymarket currently hosts 115 active markets for InteligêNcia Artificial that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “AI bubble burst by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “AI bubble burst by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 12% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on InteligêNcia Artificial predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.