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Jerome Powell previsões e probabilidades

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Decisão do Fed em abril?

Decisão do Fed em abril?

100%

Sem mudança

$186M Vol.

$21M today

$32M Liq.

15

Ends em 1 dia

Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?

Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?

99%

Kevin Warsh

$43M Vol.

$409K today

$2M Liq.

86

Ends em 6 meses

Quantos cortes de juros do Fed em 2026?

Quantos cortes de juros do Fed em 2026?

41%

0 (0 bps)

$21M Vol.

$185K today

$2M Liq.

58

Ends em 8 meses

Decisão do Fed em junho?

Decisão do Fed em junho?

94%

Sem alteração

$11M Vol.

$144K today

$1M Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?

Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?

96%

30 de junho

$2M Vol.

$62.1K today

$67.1K Liq.

50

Ends em 17 dias

Decisão do Fed em julho?

Decisão do Fed em julho?

85%

Sem mudança

$4M Vol.

$54.5K today

$454K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

13%

Sim

$941K Vol.

$63.9K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Taxa do Fed cortada em...?

Taxa do Fed cortada em...?

61%

Reunião de Dezembro

$1M Vol.

$171K Liq.

17

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Decisões do Fed (mar-jun)

Decisões do Fed (mar-jun)

93%

Pausar–Pausar–Pausar

$976K Vol.

$99.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Qual será a taxa do Fed no final de 2026?

Qual será a taxa do Fed no final de 2026?

34%

3,75%

$6M Vol.

$341K Liq.

6

Ends em 8 meses

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

98%

Good Afternoon

$133K Vol.

$49.0K Liq.

4

Ends em 1 dia

O que a taxa do Fed atingirá antes de 2027?

O que a taxa do Fed atingirá antes de 2027?

55%

↓ 3,25%

$1M Vol.

$279K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

96%

June 30

$22.7K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Jerome Powell fora do Conselho do Fed por...?

Jerome Powell fora do Conselho do Fed por...?

86%

31 de dezembro

$173K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

10

Ends em 8 meses

Trump tentará demitir Powell como presidente do Fed antes que ele saia?

Trump tentará demitir Powell como presidente do Fed antes que ele saia?

3%

Sim

$85.2K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Decisões do Fed (jan-abr)

Decisões do Fed (jan-abr)

100%

Pausa–Pausa–Pausa

$664K Vol.

$123K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Jerome Powell cobrado pelo governo federal até 30 de junho?

Jerome Powell cobrado pelo governo federal até 30 de junho?

2%

Sim

$263K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

33

Ends em 2 meses

Quantos discordam na próxima reunião do Fed?

Quantos discordam na próxima reunião do Fed?

84%

1

$72.8K Vol.

$35.2K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

85%

May 15–22

$54.7K Vol.

$54.5K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Decisões do Fed (abr-jul)

Decisões do Fed (abr-jul)

75%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$9.1K Vol.

$136K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Jerome Powell that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Decisão do Fed em abril?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $279.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Jerome Powell cobrado pelo governo federal até 30 de junho?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Decisão do Fed em abril?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Decisão do Fed em abril?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Sem mudança. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Jerome Powell predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.