Mark Carney’s Liberal government secured a majority in the House of Commons through 2026 by-elections and floor crossings following the 2025 minority result, removing immediate pressure from opposition parties. Recent special election victories on September 1 further strengthened that position amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions. With no scheduled confidence votes or signals of dissolution, and the fixed-date election set for October 2029, trader consensus assigns low probability to an earlier call. The prime minister has focused on legislative priorities rather than signaling a snap election, while upcoming provincial contests and additional by-elections are unlikely to alter federal stability before mid-2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$94,711 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря 2026 года
6%
$94,711 Объем
31 декабря 2026 года
$3,053 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Mark Carney’s Liberal government secured a majority in the House of Commons through 2026 by-elections and floor crossings following the 2025 minority result, removing immediate pressure from opposition parties. Recent special election victories on September 1 further strengthened that position amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions. With no scheduled confidence votes or signals of dissolution, and the fixed-date election set for October 2029, trader consensus assigns low probability to an earlier call. The prime minister has focused on legislative priorities rather than signaling a snap election, while upcoming provincial contests and additional by-elections are unlikely to alter federal stability before mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Объем
$94,711Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Mark Carney’s Liberal government secured a majority in the House of Commons through 2026 by-elections and floor crossings following the 2025 minority result, removing immediate pressure from opposition parties. Recent special election victories on September 1 further strengthened that position amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions. With no scheduled confidence votes or signals of dissolution, and the fixed-date election set for October 2029, trader consensus assigns low probability to an earlier call. The prime minister has focused on legislative priorities rather than signaling a snap election, while upcoming provincial contests and additional by-elections are unlikely to alter federal stability before mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$94,711Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Mark Carney’s Liberal government secured a majority in the House of Commons through 2026 by-elections and floor crossings following the 2025 minority result, removing immediate pressure from opposition parties. Recent special election victories on September 1 further strengthened that position amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions. With no scheduled confidence votes or signals of dissolution, and the fixed-date election set for October 2029, trader consensus assigns low probability to an earlier call. The prime minister has focused on legislative priorities rather than signaling a snap election, while upcoming provincial contests and additional by-elections are unlikely to alter federal stability before mid-2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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