Canada’s fixed-date election law sets the next general vote for October 15, 2029, following the 2025 contest that produced a Liberal minority under Prime Minister Mark Carney. That minority converted to a majority in April 2026 via by-election gains and floor crossings, removing the immediate procedural pressure that often prompts early dissolution. Recent national polls continue to show the Liberals ahead of the Conservatives, while three federal by-elections scheduled for August 31, 2026, offer a limited test of momentum in competitive ridings. Traders therefore price a low probability of a snap election in the remainder of 2026 or 2027 absent a sudden loss of confidence, major policy reversal, or external shock that alters the government’s seat cushion or polling lead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$93,799 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря 2026 года
6%
$93,799 Объем
31 декабря 2026 года
$2,142 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s fixed-date election law sets the next general vote for October 15, 2029, following the 2025 contest that produced a Liberal minority under Prime Minister Mark Carney. That minority converted to a majority in April 2026 via by-election gains and floor crossings, removing the immediate procedural pressure that often prompts early dissolution. Recent national polls continue to show the Liberals ahead of the Conservatives, while three federal by-elections scheduled for August 31, 2026, offer a limited test of momentum in competitive ridings. Traders therefore price a low probability of a snap election in the remainder of 2026 or 2027 absent a sudden loss of confidence, major policy reversal, or external shock that alters the government’s seat cushion or polling lead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Объем
$93,799Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s fixed-date election law sets the next general vote for October 15, 2029, following the 2025 contest that produced a Liberal minority under Prime Minister Mark Carney. That minority converted to a majority in April 2026 via by-election gains and floor crossings, removing the immediate procedural pressure that often prompts early dissolution. Recent national polls continue to show the Liberals ahead of the Conservatives, while three federal by-elections scheduled for August 31, 2026, offer a limited test of momentum in competitive ridings. Traders therefore price a low probability of a snap election in the remainder of 2026 or 2027 absent a sudden loss of confidence, major policy reversal, or external shock that alters the government’s seat cushion or polling lead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$93,799Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s fixed-date election law sets the next general vote for October 15, 2029, following the 2025 contest that produced a Liberal minority under Prime Minister Mark Carney. That minority converted to a majority in April 2026 via by-election gains and floor crossings, removing the immediate procedural pressure that often prompts early dissolution. Recent national polls continue to show the Liberals ahead of the Conservatives, while three federal by-elections scheduled for August 31, 2026, offer a limited test of momentum in competitive ridings. Traders therefore price a low probability of a snap election in the remainder of 2026 or 2027 absent a sudden loss of confidence, major policy reversal, or external shock that alters the government’s seat cushion or polling lead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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