Xi Jinping’s extended consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption investigations, including the early 2026 probe into senior military figures such as General Zhang Youxia, have further centralized command and removed potential rivals without triggering reported challenges to leadership. China’s one-party structure, absence of organized opposition, and tight control over information flows limit opportunities for coordinated action. With only months remaining until the resolution window closes, realistic shifts would require unforeseen developments such as abrupt leadership incapacity, severe economic disruption, or external shocks capable of fracturing elite cohesion in the short term.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$153,410 Объем
$153,410 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$153,410 Объем
$153,410 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extended consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption investigations, including the early 2026 probe into senior military figures such as General Zhang Youxia, have further centralized command and removed potential rivals without triggering reported challenges to leadership. China’s one-party structure, absence of organized opposition, and tight control over information flows limit opportunities for coordinated action. With only months remaining until the resolution window closes, realistic shifts would require unforeseen developments such as abrupt leadership incapacity, severe economic disruption, or external shocks capable of fracturing elite cohesion in the short term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$153,410Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extended consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption investigations, including the early 2026 probe into senior military figures such as General Zhang Youxia, have further centralized command and removed potential rivals without triggering reported challenges to leadership. China’s one-party structure, absence of organized opposition, and tight control over information flows limit opportunities for coordinated action. With only months remaining until the resolution window closes, realistic shifts would require unforeseen developments such as abrupt leadership incapacity, severe economic disruption, or external shocks capable of fracturing elite cohesion in the short term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$153,410Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s extended consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption investigations, including the early 2026 probe into senior military figures such as General Zhang Youxia, have further centralized command and removed potential rivals without triggering reported challenges to leadership. China’s one-party structure, absence of organized opposition, and tight control over information flows limit opportunities for coordinated action. With only months remaining until the resolution window closes, realistic shifts would require unforeseen developments such as abrupt leadership incapacity, severe economic disruption, or external shocks capable of fracturing elite cohesion in the short term.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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