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icon for Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Политика·Выборы в Колумбии

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

icon for Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Политика·Выборы в Колумбии

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 99.5%

Other <1%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro <1%

Polymarket

$193,497 Объем

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 99.5%

Other <1%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro <1%

Polymarket

$193,497 Объем

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia

$16,271 Объем

No

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro

$49,464 Объем

Yes

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro

$43,025 Объем

No

Other

$12,327 Объем

No

1st Round Outright Winner

$72,410 Объем

No

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda Castro advanced to Colombia’s June 21 runoff after the May 31 first round produced no outright winner.** Official results certified on June 4 gave de la Espriella 43.7% and Cepeda 40.9%, with the pair capturing over 84% of valid votes amid record turnout. International observers described the vote as orderly, and Cepeda accepted the outcome on June 7 despite earlier fraud claims by President Petro. Right-wing consolidation behind de la Espriella, including endorsements from figures such as Álvaro Uribe and Paloma Valencia, reinforced the outcome. The near-certain market pricing reflects this verified result; only an unprecedented legal reversal or recount altering certified tallies could reopen the question of who reached the second round.

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.

If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Объем
$193,497
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda Castro advanced to Colombia’s June 21 runoff after the May 31 first round produced no outright winner.** Official results certified on June 4 gave de la Espriella 43.7% and Cepeda 40.9%, with the pair capturing over 84% of valid votes amid record turnout. International observers described the vote as orderly, and Cepeda accepted the outcome on June 7 despite earlier fraud claims by President Petro. Right-wing consolidation behind de la Espriella, including endorsements from figures such as Álvaro Uribe and Paloma Valencia, reinforced the outcome. The near-certain market pricing reflects this verified result; only an unprecedented legal reversal or recount altering certified tallies could reopen the question of who reached the second round.

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.

If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Объем
$193,497
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Связанные

icon for Займёт ли Флавио Болсонару второе место в первом туре президентских выборов в Бразилии 2026 года?

Займёт ли Флавио Болсонару второе место в первом туре президентских выборов в Бразилии 2026 года?

81%
Да
icon for Победит ли какой-либо кандидат в президенты сразу в первом туре выборов в Бразилии?

Победит ли какой-либо кандидат в президенты сразу в первом туре выборов в Бразилии?

10%
Да
icon for Квалифицируется ли Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва во второй тур президентских выборов в Бразилии?

Квалифицируется ли Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва во второй тур президентских выборов в Бразилии?

95%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro» с 100%, за ним следует «Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $193.5K с момента запуска рынка May 13, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?» — «Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.