OpenAI’s rapid cadence of point releases after GPT-5 in August 2025—culminating in GPT-5.6 Sol, Terra, and Luna in July 2026 and the flagship GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026—reflects aggressive iteration on agentic coding, reasoning, and multimodal capabilities amid heavy compute investment in the Stargate cluster. Regulatory scrutiny, including temporary U.S. government delays on prior frontier models over national-security concerns, has slowed full rollouts and introduced uncertainty around timelines. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and others continues to influence OpenAI’s prioritization of safety testing and phased access. Traders monitoring the GPT-7 market should watch for official announcements on next-generation training runs, developer conferences, or infrastructure milestones that could accelerate or defer a 2027-scale leap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГПТ-7 выпущено...?
30 июня 2027 года
21%
31 декабря 2027 года
56%
$1,000 Объем
30 июня 2027 года
21%
31 декабря 2027 года
56%
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and be designated as version 7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. Any of OpenAI's general-purpose model families qualifies, including Astra, Sol, Terra, Luna, or a successor general-purpose family, provided the version designation of 7 or higher appears in the name or model identifier. For example, GPT-7, GPT-7 Astra, GPT-7 Sol, or a later version such as GPT-7.1 or GPT-8 would qualify, while models that retain a version designation below 7, such as GPT-6 Astra or GPT-6.1, and models that do not carry an explicit version number of 7 or higher in their name or identifier, regardless of how they are described or positioned, will not qualify. Task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, Realtime, transcription, or text-to-speech models will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and be designated as version 7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. Any of OpenAI's general-purpose model families qualifies, including Astra, Sol, Terra, Luna, or a successor general-purpose family, provided the version designation of 7 or higher appears in the name or model identifier. For example, GPT-7, GPT-7 Astra, GPT-7 Sol, or a later version such as GPT-7.1 or GPT-8 would qualify, while models that retain a version designation below 7, such as GPT-6 Astra or GPT-6.1, and models that do not carry an explicit version number of 7 or higher in their name or identifier, regardless of how they are described or positioned, will not qualify. Task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, Realtime, transcription, or text-to-speech models will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s rapid cadence of point releases after GPT-5 in August 2025—culminating in GPT-5.6 Sol, Terra, and Luna in July 2026 and the flagship GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026—reflects aggressive iteration on agentic coding, reasoning, and multimodal capabilities amid heavy compute investment in the Stargate cluster. Regulatory scrutiny, including temporary U.S. government delays on prior frontier models over national-security concerns, has slowed full rollouts and introduced uncertainty around timelines. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and others continues to influence OpenAI’s prioritization of safety testing and phased access. Traders monitoring the GPT-7 market should watch for official announcements on next-generation training runs, developer conferences, or infrastructure milestones that could accelerate or defer a 2027-scale leap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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