Recent forecast guidance from agencies such as the BBC and AccuWeather points to a maximum of 15–16°C in Buenos Aires on August 2 under light cloud and gentle northeasterly or southerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 41% and 31% implied probability. This reflects typical early-August climatology, where average highs reach 16–17°C amid limited solar heating and prevailing westerly flow without significant warm advection. Model consensus shows stable conditions with no major systems altering the pattern, though minor revisions in guidance could shift the exact peak. Historical analogs indicate such temperatures occur frequently during the cool season, and traders are weighting the latest observational data and short-range model runs ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 2 августа?
16°C 41%
15°C 31%
17°C 17%
14°C 10%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
10%
15°C
31%
16°C
41%
17°C
17%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
3%
16°C 41%
15°C 31%
17°C 17%
14°C 10%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
10%
15°C
31%
16°C
41%
17°C
17%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from agencies such as the BBC and AccuWeather points to a maximum of 15–16°C in Buenos Aires on August 2 under light cloud and gentle northeasterly or southerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 41% and 31% implied probability. This reflects typical early-August climatology, where average highs reach 16–17°C amid limited solar heating and prevailing westerly flow without significant warm advection. Model consensus shows stable conditions with no major systems altering the pattern, though minor revisions in guidance could shift the exact peak. Historical analogs indicate such temperatures occur frequently during the cool season, and traders are weighting the latest observational data and short-range model runs ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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