Recent forecasts indicate a cooler-than-average pattern for Istanbul on September 18, with northerly winds from the Balkans advecting cooler, moister air and triggering showers that limit daytime heating. Official outlooks from regional meteorological services project highs near 24–25°C amid cloud cover and precipitation, well below the late-summer climatological average of 25–26°C. This atmospheric setup—enhanced by strengthening pressure gradients and reduced insolation—has shifted trader sentiment toward the 20°C-or-below outcome at 49% implied probability. Model consensus remains consistent on the cooling influence, though minor variations in shower timing or wind strength could allow the maximum to reach 22–24°C. Updated numerical guidance and satellite observations in the next 48 hours will refine the final temperature distribution ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 18 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 18 сентября?
20°C или ниже 86%
24°C 47%
23°C 42%
21°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
86%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
34%
24°C
47%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
20%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C или выше
2%
20°C или ниже 86%
24°C 47%
23°C 42%
21°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$0 Объем
86%
21°C
$0 Объем
40%
22°C
$0 Объем
40%
23°C
$7 Объем
34%
24°C
$5 Объем
47%
25°C
$0 Объем
40%
26°C
$0 Объем
40%
27°C
$0 Объем
20%
28°C
$0 Объем
4%
29°C
$0 Объем
4%
30°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a cooler-than-average pattern for Istanbul on September 18, with northerly winds from the Balkans advecting cooler, moister air and triggering showers that limit daytime heating. Official outlooks from regional meteorological services project highs near 24–25°C amid cloud cover and precipitation, well below the late-summer climatological average of 25–26°C. This atmospheric setup—enhanced by strengthening pressure gradients and reduced insolation—has shifted trader sentiment toward the 20°C-or-below outcome at 49% implied probability. Model consensus remains consistent on the cooling influence, though minor variations in shower timing or wind strength could allow the maximum to reach 22–24°C. Updated numerical guidance and satellite observations in the next 48 hours will refine the final temperature distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$12Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a cooler-than-average pattern for Istanbul on September 18, with northerly winds from the Balkans advecting cooler, moister air and triggering showers that limit daytime heating. Official outlooks from regional meteorological services project highs near 24–25°C amid cloud cover and precipitation, well below the late-summer climatological average of 25–26°C. This atmospheric setup—enhanced by strengthening pressure gradients and reduced insolation—has shifted trader sentiment toward the 20°C-or-below outcome at 49% implied probability. Model consensus remains consistent on the cooling influence, though minor variations in shower timing or wind strength could allow the maximum to reach 22–24°C. Updated numerical guidance and satellite observations in the next 48 hours will refine the final temperature distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$12Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a cooler-than-average pattern for Istanbul on September 18, with northerly winds from the Balkans advecting cooler, moister air and triggering showers that limit daytime heating. Official outlooks from regional meteorological services project highs near 24–25°C amid cloud cover and precipitation, well below the late-summer climatological average of 25–26°C. This atmospheric setup—enhanced by strengthening pressure gradients and reduced insolation—has shifted trader sentiment toward the 20°C-or-below outcome at 49% implied probability. Model consensus remains consistent on the cooling influence, though minor variations in shower timing or wind strength could allow the maximum to reach 22–24°C. Updated numerical guidance and satellite observations in the next 48 hours will refine the final temperature distribution ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы