Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan on August 13 point to daytime highs near or above 26–28°C, aligning with the market's 95% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Mid-August climatology features average highs of 30–33°C under typical subtropical high pressure, though recent model runs show moderating influences from scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could limit peak heating. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies emphasizes persistent warm, humid conditions with minimal cold-air advection. A stronger frontal passage or prolonged overcast skies with heavy rainfall represent the main variables that could realistically suppress the maximum below the 26°C threshold, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on consensus model data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Цзинане 13 августа?
26°C or higher 95%
25°C 2%
20°C <1%
24°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
95%
26°C or higher 95%
25°C 2%
20°C <1%
24°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan on August 13 point to daytime highs near or above 26–28°C, aligning with the market's 95% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Mid-August climatology features average highs of 30–33°C under typical subtropical high pressure, though recent model runs show moderating influences from scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could limit peak heating. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies emphasizes persistent warm, humid conditions with minimal cold-air advection. A stronger frontal passage or prolonged overcast skies with heavy rainfall represent the main variables that could realistically suppress the maximum below the 26°C threshold, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on consensus model data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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