Current meteorological forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and BBC Weather project a daily maximum near 33°C for Jinan on August 21 under persistent late-summer subtropical conditions, with warm, humid air masses supporting highs typically between 30–35°C. This climatological baseline, reinforced by recent model consensus showing only minor variability around shower timing, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Trader consensus reflects these verified projections and historical August patterns where maxima rarely dip below that threshold. Only an unforecasted strong cold front or unusually prolonged heavy precipitation—neither indicated in current runs—could realistically suppress the peak below 26°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Цзинане 21 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Цзинане 21 августа?
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
16°C or below
$200 Объем
<1%
17°C
$205 Объем
<1%
18°C
$205 Объем
<1%
19°C
$1,430 Объем
<1%
20°C
$205 Объем
<1%
21°C
$205 Объем
<1%
22°C
$1,322 Объем
<1%
23°C
$1,480 Объем
<1%
24°C
$120 Объем
<1%
25°C
$120 Объем
<1%
26°C or higher
$676 Объем
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and BBC Weather project a daily maximum near 33°C for Jinan on August 21 under persistent late-summer subtropical conditions, with warm, humid air masses supporting highs typically between 30–35°C. This climatological baseline, reinforced by recent model consensus showing only minor variability around shower timing, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Trader consensus reflects these verified projections and historical August patterns where maxima rarely dip below that threshold. Only an unforecasted strong cold front or unusually prolonged heavy precipitation—neither indicated in current runs—could realistically suppress the peak below 26°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$6,168Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and BBC Weather project a daily maximum near 33°C for Jinan on August 21 under persistent late-summer subtropical conditions, with warm, humid air masses supporting highs typically between 30–35°C. This climatological baseline, reinforced by recent model consensus showing only minor variability around shower timing, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Trader consensus reflects these verified projections and historical August patterns where maxima rarely dip below that threshold. Only an unforecasted strong cold front or unusually prolonged heavy precipitation—neither indicated in current runs—could realistically suppress the peak below 26°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,168Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and BBC Weather project a daily maximum near 33°C for Jinan on August 21 under persistent late-summer subtropical conditions, with warm, humid air masses supporting highs typically between 30–35°C. This climatological baseline, reinforced by recent model consensus showing only minor variability around shower timing, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Trader consensus reflects these verified projections and historical August patterns where maxima rarely dip below that threshold. Only an unforecasted strong cold front or unusually prolonged heavy precipitation—neither indicated in current runs—could realistically suppress the peak below 26°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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