Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature on April 19, with market-implied probabilities clustered around 31–34°C due to an approaching westerly disturbance forecasted by the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD). This system promises dust storms, gusty winds, and potential thunderstorms with light rain across Sindh, including Karachi, capping daytime highs through increased cloud cover and instability—echoing early April's record rainfall that suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 33–35°C. Recent PMD weekly outlooks noted rising heat (37–39°C potential) earlier in the week, but the fresh alert shifts consensus lower amid sea breeze moderation and model divergences on storm timing. Watch PMD updates and GFS/ECMWF runs for resolution clarity by April 18 evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on April 19?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 19?
34°C 25%
31°C 19%
33°C 18%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
9%
30°C
9%
31°C
19%
32°C
12%
33°C
18%
34°C
25%
35°C or higher
11%
34°C 25%
31°C 19%
33°C 18%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
9%
30°C
9%
31°C
19%
32°C
12%
33°C
18%
34°C
25%
35°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 17, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature on April 19, with market-implied probabilities clustered around 31–34°C due to an approaching westerly disturbance forecasted by the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD). This system promises dust storms, gusty winds, and potential thunderstorms with light rain across Sindh, including Karachi, capping daytime highs through increased cloud cover and instability—echoing early April's record rainfall that suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 33–35°C. Recent PMD weekly outlooks noted rising heat (37–39°C potential) earlier in the week, but the fresh alert shifts consensus lower amid sea breeze moderation and model divergences on storm timing. Watch PMD updates and GFS/ECMWF runs for resolution clarity by April 18 evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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