Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 37°C as Manila's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized observations from the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of exactly 37°C in the late afternoon. PAGASA automated data corroborates this, with nearby Science Garden in Quezon City hitting 36°C amid urban heat island effects amplifying airport readings. Persistent easterlies during the dry season peak, combined with minimal cloud cover and no convective cooling, aligned with pre-day forecasts anticipating highs near 36°C. With the day concluded and measurements rounded to whole degrees Celsius, only an improbable post-finalization revision—disregarded by market rules—could shift this observational certainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Manila on May 9?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 9?
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,253 Объем
$38,253 Объем
9 мая 2026 г.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,253 Объем
$38,253 Объем
9 мая 2026 г.
30°C or below
$938 Объем
No
31°C
$2,803 Объем
No
32°C
$3,296 Объем
No
33°C
$4,759 Объем
No
34°C
$4,837 Объем
No
35°C
$4,314 Объем
No
36°C
$3,987 Объем
No
37°C
$5,877 Объем
Yes
38°C
$3,428 Объем
No
39°C
$2,298 Объем
No
40°C or higher
$1,716 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 37°C as Manila's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized observations from the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of exactly 37°C in the late afternoon. PAGASA automated data corroborates this, with nearby Science Garden in Quezon City hitting 36°C amid urban heat island effects amplifying airport readings. Persistent easterlies during the dry season peak, combined with minimal cloud cover and no convective cooling, aligned with pre-day forecasts anticipating highs near 36°C. With the day concluded and measurements rounded to whole degrees Celsius, only an improbable post-finalization revision—disregarded by market rules—could shift this observational certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Объем
$38,253Дата окончания
9 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 37°C as Manila's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized observations from the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of exactly 37°C in the late afternoon. PAGASA automated data corroborates this, with nearby Science Garden in Quezon City hitting 36°C amid urban heat island effects amplifying airport readings. Persistent easterlies during the dry season peak, combined with minimal cloud cover and no convective cooling, aligned with pre-day forecasts anticipating highs near 36°C. With the day concluded and measurements rounded to whole degrees Celsius, only an improbable post-finalization revision—disregarded by market rules—could shift this observational certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$38,253Дата окончания
9 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 37°C as Manila's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized observations from the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of exactly 37°C in the late afternoon. PAGASA automated data corroborates this, with nearby Science Garden in Quezon City hitting 36°C amid urban heat island effects amplifying airport readings. Persistent easterlies during the dry season peak, combined with minimal cloud cover and no convective cooling, aligned with pre-day forecasts anticipating highs near 36°C. With the day concluded and measurements rounded to whole degrees Celsius, only an improbable post-finalization revision—disregarded by market rules—could shift this observational certainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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