Official HKO forecasts for July 13, 2026, project a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, placing the outcome near the current 32.5% market-implied probability. Recent model consensus from regional guidance highlights a modest cooling trend from July 12 highs near 34°C, driven by increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow associated with the monsoon trough that limits daytime heating. Historical July climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C, with variability tied to typhoon proximity or clear-sky periods, yet no active systems currently threaten the region. Traders appear to weigh these factors against ensemble spread that could push readings to 33°C if subsidence strengthens or drop to 31°C with heavier showers, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next HKO update.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 13 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 13 июля?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$198,838 Объем
$198,838 Объем
13 июл. 2026 г.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$198,838 Объем
$198,838 Объем
13 июл. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$1,032 Объем
No
28°C
$1,918 Объем
No
29°C
$5,059 Объем
No
30°C
$5,724 Объем
No
31°C
$45,848 Объем
No
32°C
$32,189 Объем
No
33°C
$46,962 Объем
Yes
34°C
$40,507 Объем
No
35°C
$11,986 Объем
No
36°C
$5,572 Объем
No
37°C or higher
$2,041 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official HKO forecasts for July 13, 2026, project a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, placing the outcome near the current 32.5% market-implied probability. Recent model consensus from regional guidance highlights a modest cooling trend from July 12 highs near 34°C, driven by increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow associated with the monsoon trough that limits daytime heating. Historical July climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C, with variability tied to typhoon proximity or clear-sky periods, yet no active systems currently threaten the region. Traders appear to weigh these factors against ensemble spread that could push readings to 33°C if subsidence strengthens or drop to 31°C with heavier showers, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next HKO update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$198,838Дата окончания
13 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official HKO forecasts for July 13, 2026, project a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, placing the outcome near the current 32.5% market-implied probability. Recent model consensus from regional guidance highlights a modest cooling trend from July 12 highs near 34°C, driven by increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow associated with the monsoon trough that limits daytime heating. Historical July climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C, with variability tied to typhoon proximity or clear-sky periods, yet no active systems currently threaten the region. Traders appear to weigh these factors against ensemble spread that could push readings to 33°C if subsidence strengthens or drop to 31°C with heavier showers, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next HKO update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$198,838Дата окончания
13 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official HKO forecasts for July 13, 2026, project a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, placing the outcome near the current 32.5% market-implied probability. Recent model consensus from regional guidance highlights a modest cooling trend from July 12 highs near 34°C, driven by increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow associated with the monsoon trough that limits daytime heating. Historical July climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C, with variability tied to typhoon proximity or clear-sky periods, yet no active systems currently threaten the region. Traders appear to weigh these factors against ensemble spread that could push readings to 33°C if subsidence strengthens or drop to 31°C with heavier showers, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next HKO update.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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