Recent model consensus from major forecasting agencies points to a highest temperature of 20–21°C in Mexico City on August 24, aligning with the market's tightest odds and reflecting typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover are expected to limit solar heating, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 23–24°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns and moderate humidity, though small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture could nudge readings by 1°C. Historical analogs from similar late-August setups rarely exceed 25°C, supporting the low probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes while underscoring the narrow window between the leading bins. Updated model runs and official short-range forecasts will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 24 августа?
20°C 37%
21°C 31%
19°C 16%
22°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
5%
19°C
16%
20°C
37%
21°C
31%
22°C
11%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C или выше
1%
20°C 37%
21°C 31%
19°C 16%
22°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$135 Объем
<1%
16°C
$5 Объем
2%
17°C
$16 Объем
8%
18°C
$174 Объем
5%
19°C
$71 Объем
16%
20°C
$259 Объем
37%
21°C
$169 Объем
31%
22°C
$84 Объем
11%
23°C
$117 Объем
5%
24°C
$72 Объем
2%
25°C или выше
$70 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major forecasting agencies points to a highest temperature of 20–21°C in Mexico City on August 24, aligning with the market's tightest odds and reflecting typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover are expected to limit solar heating, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 23–24°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns and moderate humidity, though small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture could nudge readings by 1°C. Historical analogs from similar late-August setups rarely exceed 25°C, supporting the low probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes while underscoring the narrow window between the leading bins. Updated model runs and official short-range forecasts will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Объем
$1,141Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major forecasting agencies points to a highest temperature of 20–21°C in Mexico City on August 24, aligning with the market's tightest odds and reflecting typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover are expected to limit solar heating, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 23–24°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns and moderate humidity, though small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture could nudge readings by 1°C. Historical analogs from similar late-August setups rarely exceed 25°C, supporting the low probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes while underscoring the narrow window between the leading bins. Updated model runs and official short-range forecasts will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,141Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from major forecasting agencies points to a highest temperature of 20–21°C in Mexico City on August 24, aligning with the market's tightest odds and reflecting typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover are expected to limit solar heating, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 23–24°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns and moderate humidity, though small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture could nudge readings by 1°C. Historical analogs from similar late-August setups rarely exceed 25°C, supporting the low probabilities assigned to warmer outcomes while underscoring the narrow window between the leading bins. Updated model runs and official short-range forecasts will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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