Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 10 point to a typical late-summer pattern of high humidity and scattered afternoon convection under a subtropical ridge, supporting a daily maximum near the climatological normal of 91°F at Miami International Airport. Persistent moist tropical air and sea-breeze effects have limited extreme heating in early August after July's record warmth, keeping most ensemble runs clustered in the low-to-mid 90s. This consensus underpins trader positioning around the 92-93°F bin, with lower probabilities on outliers reflecting historical rarity of 96°F+ days without anomalous high-pressure amplification or suppressed thunderstorm activity. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Майами 10 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Майами 10 августа?
92-93°F 52%
90-91°F 31%
94-95°F 17%
88-89°F 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
81°F или ниже
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
52%
94-95°F
17%
96–97°F
3%
98-99°F
2%
100°F или выше
1%
92-93°F 52%
90-91°F 31%
94-95°F 17%
88-89°F 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
81°F или ниже
$12 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$12 Объем
<1%
84-85°F
$12 Объем
1%
86-87°F
$27 Объем
2%
88-89°F
$59 Объем
3%
90-91°F
$683 Объем
31%
92-93°F
$299 Объем
52%
94-95°F
$45 Объем
17%
96–97°F
$115 Объем
3%
98-99°F
$5 Объем
2%
100°F или выше
$12 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 10 point to a typical late-summer pattern of high humidity and scattered afternoon convection under a subtropical ridge, supporting a daily maximum near the climatological normal of 91°F at Miami International Airport. Persistent moist tropical air and sea-breeze effects have limited extreme heating in early August after July's record warmth, keeping most ensemble runs clustered in the low-to-mid 90s. This consensus underpins trader positioning around the 92-93°F bin, with lower probabilities on outliers reflecting historical rarity of 96°F+ days without anomalous high-pressure amplification or suppressed thunderstorm activity. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Объем
$620Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 10 point to a typical late-summer pattern of high humidity and scattered afternoon convection under a subtropical ridge, supporting a daily maximum near the climatological normal of 91°F at Miami International Airport. Persistent moist tropical air and sea-breeze effects have limited extreme heating in early August after July's record warmth, keeping most ensemble runs clustered in the low-to-mid 90s. This consensus underpins trader positioning around the 92-93°F bin, with lower probabilities on outliers reflecting historical rarity of 96°F+ days without anomalous high-pressure amplification or suppressed thunderstorm activity. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$620Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 10 point to a typical late-summer pattern of high humidity and scattered afternoon convection under a subtropical ridge, supporting a daily maximum near the climatological normal of 91°F at Miami International Airport. Persistent moist tropical air and sea-breeze effects have limited extreme heating in early August after July's record warmth, keeping most ensemble runs clustered in the low-to-mid 90s. This consensus underpins trader positioning around the 92-93°F bin, with lower probabilities on outliers reflecting historical rarity of 96°F+ days without anomalous high-pressure amplification or suppressed thunderstorm activity. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы