Persistent summer heat across northern China, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system, underpins the market's overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 10. Official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the BBC project daytime highs of 29–33°C under sunny conditions with moderate humidity, aligning with climatological norms where mid-August averages exceed 30°C and recent Shandong heat warnings have routinely produced 35°C-plus readings. Model consensus remains tight, with minimal divergence expected before resolution. A sudden cold front or widespread precipitation could theoretically suppress readings, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Цзинане 10 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Цзинане 10 августа?
26°C или выше 98.0%
16°C или ниже <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
98%
26°C или выше 98.0%
16°C или ниже <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$255 Объем
1%
17°C
$250 Объем
1%
18°C
$255 Объем
1%
19°C
$250 Объем
1%
20°C
$301 Объем
<1%
21°C
$51 Объем
1%
22°C
$50 Объем
1%
23°C
$45 Объем
1%
24°C
$167 Объем
1%
25°C
$127 Объем
<1%
26°C или выше
$595 Объем
98%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across northern China, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system, underpins the market's overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 10. Official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the BBC project daytime highs of 29–33°C under sunny conditions with moderate humidity, aligning with climatological norms where mid-August averages exceed 30°C and recent Shandong heat warnings have routinely produced 35°C-plus readings. Model consensus remains tight, with minimal divergence expected before resolution. A sudden cold front or widespread precipitation could theoretically suppress readings, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$2,346Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across northern China, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system, underpins the market's overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 10. Official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the BBC project daytime highs of 29–33°C under sunny conditions with moderate humidity, aligning with climatological norms where mid-August averages exceed 30°C and recent Shandong heat warnings have routinely produced 35°C-plus readings. Model consensus remains tight, with minimal divergence expected before resolution. A sudden cold front or widespread precipitation could theoretically suppress readings, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,346Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer heat across northern China, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system, underpins the market's overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 10. Official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the BBC project daytime highs of 29–33°C under sunny conditions with moderate humidity, aligning with climatological norms where mid-August averages exceed 30°C and recent Shandong heat warnings have routinely produced 35°C-plus readings. Model consensus remains tight, with minimal divergence expected before resolution. A sudden cold front or widespread precipitation could theoretically suppress readings, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы