Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 19 project a high near 97°F under sunny skies and light winds, establishing the primary driver behind the 53.5% market-implied probability for 96-97°F. Persistent summer heat, with recent daily maxima reaching 96°F and heat indices up to 112°F, supports this range amid typical August climatology where average highs hover near 89°F. Model consensus from NOAA emphasizes limited cloud cover and minimal tropical moisture influence tomorrow, though afternoon sea-breeze effects or isolated convection could trim peaks into the mid-90s. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates against historical August extremes rarely exceeding 95°F, positioning 94-95°F as the next most likely outcome at 31.5%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Майами 19 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Майами 19 августа?
96-97°F 54%
94-95°F 32%
98-99°F 12%
100-101°F 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
54%
98-99°F
12%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F или выше
<1%
96-97°F 54%
94-95°F 32%
98-99°F 12%
100-101°F 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
87°F or below
$35 Объем
<1%
88-89°F
$352 Объем
<1%
90-91°F
$2,432 Объем
1%
92-93°F
$527 Объем
3%
94-95°F
$807 Объем
32%
96-97°F
$800 Объем
54%
98-99°F
$783 Объем
12%
100-101°F
$1,161 Объем
4%
102-103°F
$150 Объем
<1%
104-105°F
$312 Объем
<1%
106°F или выше
$150 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 19 project a high near 97°F under sunny skies and light winds, establishing the primary driver behind the 53.5% market-implied probability for 96-97°F. Persistent summer heat, with recent daily maxima reaching 96°F and heat indices up to 112°F, supports this range amid typical August climatology where average highs hover near 89°F. Model consensus from NOAA emphasizes limited cloud cover and minimal tropical moisture influence tomorrow, though afternoon sea-breeze effects or isolated convection could trim peaks into the mid-90s. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates against historical August extremes rarely exceeding 95°F, positioning 94-95°F as the next most likely outcome at 31.5%.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Объем
$7,509Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 19 project a high near 97°F under sunny skies and light winds, establishing the primary driver behind the 53.5% market-implied probability for 96-97°F. Persistent summer heat, with recent daily maxima reaching 96°F and heat indices up to 112°F, supports this range amid typical August climatology where average highs hover near 89°F. Model consensus from NOAA emphasizes limited cloud cover and minimal tropical moisture influence tomorrow, though afternoon sea-breeze effects or isolated convection could trim peaks into the mid-90s. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates against historical August extremes rarely exceeding 95°F, positioning 94-95°F as the next most likely outcome at 31.5%.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,509Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 19 project a high near 97°F under sunny skies and light winds, establishing the primary driver behind the 53.5% market-implied probability for 96-97°F. Persistent summer heat, with recent daily maxima reaching 96°F and heat indices up to 112°F, supports this range amid typical August climatology where average highs hover near 89°F. Model consensus from NOAA emphasizes limited cloud cover and minimal tropical moisture influence tomorrow, though afternoon sea-breeze effects or isolated convection could trim peaks into the mid-90s. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates against historical August extremes rarely exceeding 95°F, positioning 94-95°F as the next most likely outcome at 31.5%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы