Short-range ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Milan’s September 4 maximum temperature hovering near the 32–33 °C threshold, with the two outcomes trading within 1 percentage point because of modest spread in predicted 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing. A ridge of high pressure favors warm advection from the southwest, yet subtle differences in cloud cover timing, wind speed, and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1 °C. Latest model runs indicate limited diurnal spread, keeping lower and higher outcomes below 10 % implied probability while underscoring the inherent uncertainty in resolving exact afternoon maxima two days ahead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 4 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Милане 4 сентября?
32°C 42%
33°C 41%
31°C 10%
34°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C
42%
33°C
41%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C или выше
<1%
32°C 42%
33°C 41%
31°C 10%
34°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
$116 Объем
<1%
28°C
$153 Объем
<1%
29°C
$217 Объем
<1%
30°C
$141 Объем
1%
31°C
$583 Объем
10%
32°C
$1,182 Объем
42%
33°C
$565 Объем
41%
34°C
$324 Объем
10%
35°C
$64 Объем
1%
36°C
$0 Объем
1%
37°C или выше
$417 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Milan’s September 4 maximum temperature hovering near the 32–33 °C threshold, with the two outcomes trading within 1 percentage point because of modest spread in predicted 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing. A ridge of high pressure favors warm advection from the southwest, yet subtle differences in cloud cover timing, wind speed, and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1 °C. Latest model runs indicate limited diurnal spread, keeping lower and higher outcomes below 10 % implied probability while underscoring the inherent uncertainty in resolving exact afternoon maxima two days ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$3,762Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Milan’s September 4 maximum temperature hovering near the 32–33 °C threshold, with the two outcomes trading within 1 percentage point because of modest spread in predicted 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing. A ridge of high pressure favors warm advection from the southwest, yet subtle differences in cloud cover timing, wind speed, and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1 °C. Latest model runs indicate limited diurnal spread, keeping lower and higher outcomes below 10 % implied probability while underscoring the inherent uncertainty in resolving exact afternoon maxima two days ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,762Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Short-range ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Milan’s September 4 maximum temperature hovering near the 32–33 °C threshold, with the two outcomes trading within 1 percentage point because of modest spread in predicted 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing. A ridge of high pressure favors warm advection from the southwest, yet subtle differences in cloud cover timing, wind speed, and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1 °C. Latest model runs indicate limited diurnal spread, keeping lower and higher outcomes below 10 % implied probability while underscoring the inherent uncertainty in resolving exact afternoon maxima two days ahead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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