Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 15 points to a high near 68–70°F in San Francisco, aligning with the market’s leading 68–69°F (38%) and 70–71°F (21.5%) bins. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are limiting daytime heating, keeping coastal maxima well below inland values despite the mid-August timing. Climatologically, San Francisco averages around 70°F in August, but a recent cooling trend has held readings slightly below normal. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily while noting that shifts in the sea breeze or stratus clearance could nudge the official high into adjacent ranges before resolution at the KSFO station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 15 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 15 августа?
68-69°F 38%
70-71°F 23%
66-67°F 18%
72-73°F 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
59°F или ниже
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F или выше
<1%
68-69°F 38%
70-71°F 23%
66-67°F 18%
72-73°F 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
59°F или ниже
$67 Объем
<1%
60-61°F
$15 Объем
1%
62-63°F
$241 Объем
2%
64-65°F
$13 Объем
6%
66-67°F
$197 Объем
18%
68-69°F
$53 Объем
38%
70-71°F
$57 Объем
23%
72-73°F
$201 Объем
8%
74-75°F
$160 Объем
1%
76-77°F
$167 Объем
<1%
78°F или выше
$11 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 15 points to a high near 68–70°F in San Francisco, aligning with the market’s leading 68–69°F (38%) and 70–71°F (21.5%) bins. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are limiting daytime heating, keeping coastal maxima well below inland values despite the mid-August timing. Climatologically, San Francisco averages around 70°F in August, but a recent cooling trend has held readings slightly below normal. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily while noting that shifts in the sea breeze or stratus clearance could nudge the official high into adjacent ranges before resolution at the KSFO station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Объем
$1,182Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 15 points to a high near 68–70°F in San Francisco, aligning with the market’s leading 68–69°F (38%) and 70–71°F (21.5%) bins. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are limiting daytime heating, keeping coastal maxima well below inland values despite the mid-August timing. Climatologically, San Francisco averages around 70°F in August, but a recent cooling trend has held readings slightly below normal. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily while noting that shifts in the sea breeze or stratus clearance could nudge the official high into adjacent ranges before resolution at the KSFO station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,182Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 15 points to a high near 68–70°F in San Francisco, aligning with the market’s leading 68–69°F (38%) and 70–71°F (21.5%) bins. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are limiting daytime heating, keeping coastal maxima well below inland values despite the mid-August timing. Climatologically, San Francisco averages around 70°F in August, but a recent cooling trend has held readings slightly below normal. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily while noting that shifts in the sea breeze or stratus clearance could nudge the official high into adjacent ranges before resolution at the KSFO station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы