Recent cold front passage has cooled Sao Paulo ahead of August 24, with official forecasts from INMET-aligned models and international agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF consensus showing a cloudy, breezy southeasterly flow limiting daytime heating to a maximum near 18–21 °C. Persistent low- to mid-level cloud cover and light showers suppress insolation compared with recent sunny days that reached 25–30 °C, while dew points near 12–14 °C and moderate humidity further constrain the daily range. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 19–21 °C because ensemble spreads hinge on small differences in cloud timing and wind strength; updated model runs overnight or early on the 24th could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 23 °C underscore how this transient cool anomaly is the dominant near-term driver.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 24 августа?
20°C 33%
21°C 26%
19°C 19%
22°C 14%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
19%
20°C
33%
21°C
26%
22°C
14%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 33%
21°C 26%
19°C 19%
22°C 14%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
19%
20°C
33%
21°C
26%
22°C
14%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold front passage has cooled Sao Paulo ahead of August 24, with official forecasts from INMET-aligned models and international agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF consensus showing a cloudy, breezy southeasterly flow limiting daytime heating to a maximum near 18–21 °C. Persistent low- to mid-level cloud cover and light showers suppress insolation compared with recent sunny days that reached 25–30 °C, while dew points near 12–14 °C and moderate humidity further constrain the daily range. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 19–21 °C because ensemble spreads hinge on small differences in cloud timing and wind strength; updated model runs overnight or early on the 24th could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 23 °C underscore how this transient cool anomaly is the dominant near-term driver.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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