Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C highest temperature in Taipei on April 28, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, which recorded a peak of 32°C during afternoon hours under mostly clear skies and light winds conducive to standard diurnal heating. This aligns with CWA's latest forecast of 21–32°C highs amid near-normal April climatology, with minimal cloud cover allowing maximum solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-evening heat burst from downslope winds or a CWA data revision, though evening cooling and sunset reduce such risks as final daily reports finalize.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on April 28?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 28?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$109,813 Объем
$109,813 Объем
28 апр. 2026 г.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$109,813 Объем
$109,813 Объем
28 апр. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$3,088 Объем
No
25°C
$3,143 Объем
No
26°C
$2,539 Объем
No
27°C
$4,684 Объем
No
28°C
$5,804 Объем
No
29°C
$13,441 Объем
No
30°C
$4,803 Объем
No
31°C
$13,541 Объем
No
32°C
$31,425 Объем
Yes
33°C
$8,856 Объем
No
34°C or higher
$18,488 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C highest temperature in Taipei on April 28, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, which recorded a peak of 32°C during afternoon hours under mostly clear skies and light winds conducive to standard diurnal heating. This aligns with CWA's latest forecast of 21–32°C highs amid near-normal April climatology, with minimal cloud cover allowing maximum solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-evening heat burst from downslope winds or a CWA data revision, though evening cooling and sunset reduce such risks as final daily reports finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 26, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$109,813Дата окончания
28 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 26, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C highest temperature in Taipei on April 28, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, which recorded a peak of 32°C during afternoon hours under mostly clear skies and light winds conducive to standard diurnal heating. This aligns with CWA's latest forecast of 21–32°C highs amid near-normal April climatology, with minimal cloud cover allowing maximum solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-evening heat burst from downslope winds or a CWA data revision, though evening cooling and sunset reduce such risks as final daily reports finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$109,813Дата окончания
28 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 26, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C highest temperature in Taipei on April 28, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, which recorded a peak of 32°C during afternoon hours under mostly clear skies and light winds conducive to standard diurnal heating. This aligns with CWA's latest forecast of 21–32°C highs amid near-normal April climatology, with minimal cloud cover allowing maximum solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-evening heat burst from downslope winds or a CWA data revision, though evening cooling and sunset reduce such risks as final daily reports finalize.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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