Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on April 19, driven by confirmed observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) recording a midday peak of 23°C at central stations like Nerima and Chofu, followed by steady cooling into the evening amid light winds and partial cloud cover. This aligns with spring climatology, where Tokyo's April highs average 19–21°C but can reach low-20s under high-pressure influence, as seen in recent model outputs from JMA's meso-scale analysis. Scenarios challenging this include a delayed report from outlying sensors exceeding 23°C or a rare data correction, though JMA's quality-controlled readings make such revisions improbable; final daily summaries expected overnight will confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 19?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 19?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$125,019 Объем
$125,019 Объем
19 апр. 2026 г.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$125,019 Объем
$125,019 Объем
19 апр. 2026 г.
16°C or below
$1,769 Объем
No
17°C
$1,813 Объем
No
18°C
$4,774 Объем
No
19°C
$1,832 Объем
No
20°C
$4,957 Объем
No
21°C
$9,194 Объем
No
22°C
$10,134 Объем
No
23°C
$25,855 Объем
Yes
24°C
$21,952 Объем
No
25°C
$25,795 Объем
No
26°C or higher
$16,945 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on April 19, driven by confirmed observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) recording a midday peak of 23°C at central stations like Nerima and Chofu, followed by steady cooling into the evening amid light winds and partial cloud cover. This aligns with spring climatology, where Tokyo's April highs average 19–21°C but can reach low-20s under high-pressure influence, as seen in recent model outputs from JMA's meso-scale analysis. Scenarios challenging this include a delayed report from outlying sensors exceeding 23°C or a rare data correction, though JMA's quality-controlled readings make such revisions improbable; final daily summaries expected overnight will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$125,019Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on April 19, driven by confirmed observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) recording a midday peak of 23°C at central stations like Nerima and Chofu, followed by steady cooling into the evening amid light winds and partial cloud cover. This aligns with spring climatology, where Tokyo's April highs average 19–21°C but can reach low-20s under high-pressure influence, as seen in recent model outputs from JMA's meso-scale analysis. Scenarios challenging this include a delayed report from outlying sensors exceeding 23°C or a rare data correction, though JMA's quality-controlled readings make such revisions improbable; final daily summaries expected overnight will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$125,019Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on April 19, driven by confirmed observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) recording a midday peak of 23°C at central stations like Nerima and Chofu, followed by steady cooling into the evening amid light winds and partial cloud cover. This aligns with spring climatology, where Tokyo's April highs average 19–21°C but can reach low-20s under high-pressure influence, as seen in recent model outputs from JMA's meso-scale analysis. Scenarios challenging this include a delayed report from outlying sensors exceeding 23°C or a rare data correction, though JMA's quality-controlled readings make such revisions improbable; final daily summaries expected overnight will confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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