Current MetService and numerical weather prediction guidance project a daytime maximum of 11–13 °C in Wellington on 20 August, driving the market’s concentration on the 12 °C (54.5 %) and 13 °C (34.5 %) outcomes. Persistent southerly maritime airflow and residual polar air intrusions have kept recent maxima near or below the August climatological average of ~12 °C, while an approaching high-pressure ridge and lighter winds are expected to permit modest diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies with only isolated showers. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through the end of winter, and model spread remains modest given the short lead time to resolution at official Kelburn and airport stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 20 августа?
12°C 55%
13°C 35%
11°C 8%
14°C 5%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
8%
12°C
55%
13°C
35%
14°C
5%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 55%
13°C 35%
11°C 8%
14°C 5%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
8%
12°C
55%
13°C
35%
14°C
5%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current MetService and numerical weather prediction guidance project a daytime maximum of 11–13 °C in Wellington on 20 August, driving the market’s concentration on the 12 °C (54.5 %) and 13 °C (34.5 %) outcomes. Persistent southerly maritime airflow and residual polar air intrusions have kept recent maxima near or below the August climatological average of ~12 °C, while an approaching high-pressure ridge and lighter winds are expected to permit modest diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies with only isolated showers. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through the end of winter, and model spread remains modest given the short lead time to resolution at official Kelburn and airport stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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