**Forecast models from MetService and the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 10°C for Wellington on August 6 under clearing skies and light winds following recent southerly flows.** This aligns closely with the market's top outcomes at 11°C (55%) and 10°C (34.5%), as winter conditions in the region typically produce daily highs near or slightly below the 12°C August average per NIWA climatology. Recent cold air advection and frost risk have kept readings suppressed, but expected sunny intervals on the 6th could allow modest afternoon warming depending on exact cloud cover and wind patterns. Official forecasts show low precipitation chances and highs firmly in the 9–11°C range, with model consensus limiting upside to 12°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the balance between these projections and minor local variations at measurement sites, keeping probabilities concentrated on the 10–11°C band ahead of the day's resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 6 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 6 августа?
11°C 56%
10°C 33%
12°C 9%
9°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$39,310 Объем
НОВОЕ
$39,310 Объем
6 авг. 2026 г.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
33%
11°C
56%
12°C
9%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 56%
10°C 33%
12°C 9%
9°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$39,310 Объем
НОВОЕ
$39,310 Объем
6 авг. 2026 г.
5°C or below
$373 Объем
<1%
6°C
$1,103 Объем
<1%
7°C
$581 Объем
<1%
8°C
$2,167 Объем
<1%
9°C
$5,197 Объем
3%
10°C
$5,314 Объем
33%
11°C
$7,026 Объем
56%
12°C
$5,964 Объем
9%
13°C
$7,425 Объем
1%
14°C
$2,813 Объем
<1%
15°C or higher
$1,347 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService and the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 10°C for Wellington on August 6 under clearing skies and light winds following recent southerly flows.** This aligns closely with the market's top outcomes at 11°C (55%) and 10°C (34.5%), as winter conditions in the region typically produce daily highs near or slightly below the 12°C August average per NIWA climatology. Recent cold air advection and frost risk have kept readings suppressed, but expected sunny intervals on the 6th could allow modest afternoon warming depending on exact cloud cover and wind patterns. Official forecasts show low precipitation chances and highs firmly in the 9–11°C range, with model consensus limiting upside to 12°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the balance between these projections and minor local variations at measurement sites, keeping probabilities concentrated on the 10–11°C band ahead of the day's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$39,310Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService and the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 10°C for Wellington on August 6 under clearing skies and light winds following recent southerly flows.** This aligns closely with the market's top outcomes at 11°C (55%) and 10°C (34.5%), as winter conditions in the region typically produce daily highs near or slightly below the 12°C August average per NIWA climatology. Recent cold air advection and frost risk have kept readings suppressed, but expected sunny intervals on the 6th could allow modest afternoon warming depending on exact cloud cover and wind patterns. Official forecasts show low precipitation chances and highs firmly in the 9–11°C range, with model consensus limiting upside to 12°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the balance between these projections and minor local variations at measurement sites, keeping probabilities concentrated on the 10–11°C band ahead of the day's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$39,310Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from MetService and the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 10°C for Wellington on August 6 under clearing skies and light winds following recent southerly flows.** This aligns closely with the market's top outcomes at 11°C (55%) and 10°C (34.5%), as winter conditions in the region typically produce daily highs near or slightly below the 12°C August average per NIWA climatology. Recent cold air advection and frost risk have kept readings suppressed, but expected sunny intervals on the 6th could allow modest afternoon warming depending on exact cloud cover and wind patterns. Official forecasts show low precipitation chances and highs firmly in the 9–11°C range, with model consensus limiting upside to 12°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the balance between these projections and minor local variations at measurement sites, keeping probabilities concentrated on the 10–11°C band ahead of the day's resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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