Recent forecast data for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 10–11°C on August 6, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Seasonal climatology places August average highs around 12°C, yet current model consensus and recent observations show cooler conditions influenced by southerly airflow and typical winter variability. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures overall, while short-range guidance highlights limited warming potential under breezy, partly cloudy skies. Traders appear to weigh these near-term signals more heavily than long-term averages, though minor shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could still alter the realized high within the narrow 9–12°C range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 6 августа?
11°C 56%
10°C 32%
12°C 9%
9°C 3%
$29,416 Объем
$29,416 Объем
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
32%
11°C
56%
12°C
9%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 56%
10°C 32%
12°C 9%
9°C 3%
$29,416 Объем
$29,416 Объем
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
32%
11°C
56%
12°C
9%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast data for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 10–11°C on August 6, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Seasonal climatology places August average highs around 12°C, yet current model consensus and recent observations show cooler conditions influenced by southerly airflow and typical winter variability. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures overall, while short-range guidance highlights limited warming potential under breezy, partly cloudy skies. Traders appear to weigh these near-term signals more heavily than long-term averages, though minor shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could still alter the realized high within the narrow 9–12°C range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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