César Dockweiler's dominant 57.8% implied probability in the La Paz mayoral election market reflects recent polls showing him leading by wide margins, driven by his Comunidad Ciudadana platform emphasizing security and urban development amid voter dissatisfaction with incumbent governance. Challenger Miguel Roca trails at 13.4% on steady Movimiento al Socialismo support, while Jhonny Plata and others lag due to fragmented opposition votes. Key recent developments include Dockweiler's strong debate performances and endorsements from local business leaders, boosting his momentum ahead of the March 2025 vote; however, high abstention risks and MAS mobilization efforts introduce uncertainty, as trader consensus prices in these dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов мэра Ла-Паса (Боливия)
Победитель выборов мэра Ла-Паса (Боливия)
Сесар Доквейлер 57.7%
Мигель Рока 13.4%
Джонни Плата 9.0%
Вальдо Альбаррасин 6.3%
$1,711,718 Объем
$1,711,718 Объем

Сесар Доквейлер
58%

Мигель Рока
13%

Джонни Плата
9%

Вальдо Альбаррасин
6%

Иван Ариас
4%

Ксавьер Итурральде
3%

Карлос Эдуардо Паленке
2%

Родриго Ривера
1%

Алехандро Рейес
1%

Пол Кока
1%

Оскар Сольяно
<1%

Пьер Шен
<1%
Сесар Доквейлер 57.7%
Мигель Рока 13.4%
Джонни Плата 9.0%
Вальдо Альбаррасин 6.3%
$1,711,718 Объем
$1,711,718 Объем

Сесар Доквейлер
58%

Мигель Рока
13%

Джонни Плата
9%

Вальдо Альбаррасин
6%

Иван Ариас
4%

Ксавьер Итурральде
3%

Карлос Эдуардо Паленке
2%

Родриго Ривера
1%

Алехандро Рейес
1%

Пол Кока
1%

Оскар Сольяно
<1%

Пьер Шен
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...César Dockweiler's dominant 57.8% implied probability in the La Paz mayoral election market reflects recent polls showing him leading by wide margins, driven by his Comunidad Ciudadana platform emphasizing security and urban development amid voter dissatisfaction with incumbent governance. Challenger Miguel Roca trails at 13.4% on steady Movimiento al Socialismo support, while Jhonny Plata and others lag due to fragmented opposition votes. Key recent developments include Dockweiler's strong debate performances and endorsements from local business leaders, boosting his momentum ahead of the March 2025 vote; however, high abstention risks and MAS mobilization efforts introduce uncertainty, as trader consensus prices in these dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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