Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 13–14°C for Amsterdam on August 21, consistent with typical late-summer maritime conditions influenced by the North Sea. This aligns with climatological averages of 12–14°C minimums in the final third of August, driven by seasonal cooling trends and moderate diurnal ranges under variable cloud cover and light winds. No significant cold fronts, heat anomalies, or model divergences appear in recent runs, supporting trader consensus around the 13°C outcome at 59.5% implied probability while leaving room for minor adjustments based on final observational data from stations like Schiphol.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Амстердаме 21 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 21 августа?
12°C 2%
11°C 1.4%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
60%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 2%
11°C 1.4%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
$298 Объем
1%
10°C
$92 Объем
1%
11°C
$192 Объем
1%
12°C
$127 Объем
2%
13°C
$30 Объем
60%
14°C
$469 Объем
<1%
15°C
$390 Объем
<1%
16°C
$722 Объем
<1%
17°C
$564 Объем
<1%
18°C
$374 Объем
<1%
19°C or higher
$439 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 13–14°C for Amsterdam on August 21, consistent with typical late-summer maritime conditions influenced by the North Sea. This aligns with climatological averages of 12–14°C minimums in the final third of August, driven by seasonal cooling trends and moderate diurnal ranges under variable cloud cover and light winds. No significant cold fronts, heat anomalies, or model divergences appear in recent runs, supporting trader consensus around the 13°C outcome at 59.5% implied probability while leaving room for minor adjustments based on final observational data from stations like Schiphol.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Объем
$3,696Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 13–14°C for Amsterdam on August 21, consistent with typical late-summer maritime conditions influenced by the North Sea. This aligns with climatological averages of 12–14°C minimums in the final third of August, driven by seasonal cooling trends and moderate diurnal ranges under variable cloud cover and light winds. No significant cold fronts, heat anomalies, or model divergences appear in recent runs, supporting trader consensus around the 13°C outcome at 59.5% implied probability while leaving room for minor adjustments based on final observational data from stations like Schiphol.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,696Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 13–14°C for Amsterdam on August 21, consistent with typical late-summer maritime conditions influenced by the North Sea. This aligns with climatological averages of 12–14°C minimums in the final third of August, driven by seasonal cooling trends and moderate diurnal ranges under variable cloud cover and light winds. No significant cold fronts, heat anomalies, or model divergences appear in recent runs, supporting trader consensus around the 13°C outcome at 59.5% implied probability while leaving room for minor adjustments based on final observational data from stations like Schiphol.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы