Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows of 12–13°C on September 18, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air and moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 13°C and 12°C outcomes. Key variables include the exact timing and extent of any clearing skies, which could enhance cooling toward 11°C or below, versus increased low-level moisture or wind that would hold minima near 14°C. Historical September averages near 10.8°C provide context, yet 2026’s warmer-than-normal pattern has kept probabilities for sub-11°C outcomes low. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Амстердаме 18 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 18 сентября?
13°C 30%
12°C 24%
11°C 12%
14°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
7%
11°C
12%
12°C
24%
13°C
30%
14°C
12%
15°C
11%
16°C
7%
17°C или выше
5%
13°C 30%
12°C 24%
11°C 12%
14°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
$0 Объем
2%
8°C
$0 Объем
2%
9°C
$0 Объем
2%
10°C
$0 Объем
7%
11°C
$0 Объем
12%
12°C
$0 Объем
24%
13°C
$0 Объем
30%
14°C
$0 Объем
12%
15°C
$0 Объем
11%
16°C
$0 Объем
7%
17°C или выше
$0 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows of 12–13°C on September 18, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air and moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 13°C and 12°C outcomes. Key variables include the exact timing and extent of any clearing skies, which could enhance cooling toward 11°C or below, versus increased low-level moisture or wind that would hold minima near 14°C. Historical September averages near 10.8°C provide context, yet 2026’s warmer-than-normal pattern has kept probabilities for sub-11°C outcomes low. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows of 12–13°C on September 18, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air and moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 13°C and 12°C outcomes. Key variables include the exact timing and extent of any clearing skies, which could enhance cooling toward 11°C or below, versus increased low-level moisture or wind that would hold minima near 14°C. Historical September averages near 10.8°C provide context, yet 2026’s warmer-than-normal pattern has kept probabilities for sub-11°C outcomes low. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows of 12–13°C on September 18, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air and moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 13°C and 12°C outcomes. Key variables include the exact timing and extent of any clearing skies, which could enhance cooling toward 11°C or below, versus increased low-level moisture or wind that would hold minima near 14°C. Historical September averages near 10.8°C provide context, yet 2026’s warmer-than-normal pattern has kept probabilities for sub-11°C outcomes low. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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