Meteorological forecasts and real-time observations from agencies monitoring the Korean Peninsula point to an overnight minimum of 18°C in Busan on September 12, underpinning the market’s 98% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the southeastern coast, where moderating sea-surface temperatures and light synoptic flow typically anchor lows near 17–19°C. Ensemble model guidance shows tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread from current pressure patterns and humidity profiles. A rapid increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore winds, or an unforecasted cold-air surge could push readings lower, though short-range data and verification timing make such shifts improbable before daily minimums are recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Пусане 12 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Пусане 12 сентября?
18°C 98%
15°C или ниже 4%
16°C 4%
17°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
98%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
18°C 98%
15°C или ниже 4%
16°C 4%
17°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$0 Объем
4%
16°C
$40 Объем
4%
17°C
$0 Объем
4%
18°C
$62 Объем
98%
19°C
$126 Объем
<1%
20°C
$85 Объем
<1%
21°C
$15 Объем
<1%
22°C
$0 Объем
<1%
23°C
$15 Объем
<1%
24°C
$0 Объем
<1%
25°C или выше
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecasts and real-time observations from agencies monitoring the Korean Peninsula point to an overnight minimum of 18°C in Busan on September 12, underpinning the market’s 98% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the southeastern coast, where moderating sea-surface temperatures and light synoptic flow typically anchor lows near 17–19°C. Ensemble model guidance shows tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread from current pressure patterns and humidity profiles. A rapid increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore winds, or an unforecasted cold-air surge could push readings lower, though short-range data and verification timing make such shifts improbable before daily minimums are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$343Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecasts and real-time observations from agencies monitoring the Korean Peninsula point to an overnight minimum of 18°C in Busan on September 12, underpinning the market’s 98% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the southeastern coast, where moderating sea-surface temperatures and light synoptic flow typically anchor lows near 17–19°C. Ensemble model guidance shows tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread from current pressure patterns and humidity profiles. A rapid increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore winds, or an unforecasted cold-air surge could push readings lower, though short-range data and verification timing make such shifts improbable before daily minimums are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$343Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Meteorological forecasts and real-time observations from agencies monitoring the Korean Peninsula point to an overnight minimum of 18°C in Busan on September 12, underpinning the market’s 98% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the southeastern coast, where moderating sea-surface temperatures and light synoptic flow typically anchor lows near 17–19°C. Ensemble model guidance shows tight clustering around this value, with minimal spread from current pressure patterns and humidity profiles. A rapid increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore winds, or an unforecasted cold-air surge could push readings lower, though short-range data and verification timing make such shifts improbable before daily minimums are recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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