Traders heavily favor a 27°C low for Guangzhou on August 21 due to persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, with official forecasts from regional models showing overnight minima near 26–27°C amid high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical August averages place typical nighttime lows at 25–26°C, while current data indicate no significant cold advection or typhoon influence to drive sharper drops. This market-implied outcome aligns with the consensus range from monitoring stations, where humidity often keeps temperatures elevated. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted surge in precipitation or a brief northerly wind shift that enhances cooling below 26°C before dawn.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 21 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 21 августа?
27°C 94%
24°C 53%
23°C 2%
25°C 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
53%
25°C
25%
26°C
34%
27°C
94%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 94%
24°C 53%
23°C 2%
25°C 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$383 Объем
1%
23°C
$182 Объем
2%
24°C
$154 Объем
53%
25°C
$143 Объем
25%
26°C
$49 Объем
34%
27°C
$179 Объем
94%
28°C
$218 Объем
<1%
29°C
$105 Объем
<1%
30°C
$95 Объем
<1%
31°C
$95 Объем
<1%
32°C or higher
$95 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders heavily favor a 27°C low for Guangzhou on August 21 due to persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, with official forecasts from regional models showing overnight minima near 26–27°C amid high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical August averages place typical nighttime lows at 25–26°C, while current data indicate no significant cold advection or typhoon influence to drive sharper drops. This market-implied outcome aligns with the consensus range from monitoring stations, where humidity often keeps temperatures elevated. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted surge in precipitation or a brief northerly wind shift that enhances cooling below 26°C before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Объем
$1,699Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders heavily favor a 27°C low for Guangzhou on August 21 due to persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, with official forecasts from regional models showing overnight minima near 26–27°C amid high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical August averages place typical nighttime lows at 25–26°C, while current data indicate no significant cold advection or typhoon influence to drive sharper drops. This market-implied outcome aligns with the consensus range from monitoring stations, where humidity often keeps temperatures elevated. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted surge in precipitation or a brief northerly wind shift that enhances cooling below 26°C before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,699Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor a 27°C low for Guangzhou on August 21 due to persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, with official forecasts from regional models showing overnight minima near 26–27°C amid high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical August averages place typical nighttime lows at 25–26°C, while current data indicate no significant cold advection or typhoon influence to drive sharper drops. This market-implied outcome aligns with the consensus range from monitoring stations, where humidity often keeps temperatures elevated. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted surge in precipitation or a brief northerly wind shift that enhances cooling below 26°C before dawn.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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