**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 11, 2026, reflecting model agreement on stable subtropical conditions.** Multiple forecasts show overnight lows settling near 23–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical early-autumn humidity levels, consistent with historical September averages around 24–25°C. Authoritative sources indicate no major frontal systems or significant radiative cooling events are expected to push temperatures lower. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 25°C captures this tight clustering of official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift, though current model runs show limited divergence and high confidence in the narrow range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 11 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 11 сентября?
25°C 98%
24°C 3%
19°C или ниже <1%
20°C <1%
$731 Объем
$731 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Да
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C или выше
Нет
25°C 98%
24°C 3%
19°C или ниже <1%
20°C <1%
$731 Объем
$731 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$196 Объем
Нет
20°C
$20 Объем
Нет
21°C
$138 Объем
Нет
22°C
$73 Объем
Нет
23°C
$105 Объем
Нет
24°C
$57 Объем
Нет
25°C
$77 Объем
Да
26°C
$15 Объем
Нет
27°C
$0 Объем
Нет
28°C
$25 Объем
Нет
29°C или выше
$25 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 11, 2026, reflecting model agreement on stable subtropical conditions.** Multiple forecasts show overnight lows settling near 23–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical early-autumn humidity levels, consistent with historical September averages around 24–25°C. Authoritative sources indicate no major frontal systems or significant radiative cooling events are expected to push temperatures lower. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 25°C captures this tight clustering of official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift, though current model runs show limited divergence and high confidence in the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$731Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 11, 2026, reflecting model agreement on stable subtropical conditions.** Multiple forecasts show overnight lows settling near 23–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical early-autumn humidity levels, consistent with historical September averages around 24–25°C. Authoritative sources indicate no major frontal systems or significant radiative cooling events are expected to push temperatures lower. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 25°C captures this tight clustering of official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift, though current model runs show limited divergence and high confidence in the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$731Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 11, 2026, reflecting model agreement on stable subtropical conditions.** Multiple forecasts show overnight lows settling near 23–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical early-autumn humidity levels, consistent with historical September averages around 24–25°C. Authoritative sources indicate no major frontal systems or significant radiative cooling events are expected to push temperatures lower. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 25°C captures this tight clustering of official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift, though current model runs show limited divergence and high confidence in the narrow range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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