Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute shows Helsinki's overnight minimum stabilizing near 11°C under light southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, limiting further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology where daily lows typically range 9–13°C, though current model consensus points to slightly milder conditions than seasonal averages due to persistent warm advection. Traders have concentrated 89% implied probability on 11°C as the observed low, reflecting high confidence in official station data from Helsinki-Vantaa amid minimal model spread and no incoming frontal systems expected before midnight. Minor probabilities on 10°C or 12°C capture residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects or slight forecast adjustments from the next update cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Хельсинки 21 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Хельсинки 21 августа?
11°C 93%
10°C 3%
8°C 2%
9°C 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
88%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 93%
10°C 3%
8°C 2%
9°C 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
5°C or below
$95 Объем
<1%
6°C
$99 Объем
<1%
7°C
$98 Объем
1%
8°C
$173 Объем
2%
9°C
$121 Объем
2%
10°C
$86 Объем
3%
11°C
$245 Объем
88%
12°C
$276 Объем
<1%
13°C
$195 Объем
<1%
14°C
$241 Объем
<1%
15°C or higher
$263 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute shows Helsinki's overnight minimum stabilizing near 11°C under light southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, limiting further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology where daily lows typically range 9–13°C, though current model consensus points to slightly milder conditions than seasonal averages due to persistent warm advection. Traders have concentrated 89% implied probability on 11°C as the observed low, reflecting high confidence in official station data from Helsinki-Vantaa amid minimal model spread and no incoming frontal systems expected before midnight. Minor probabilities on 10°C or 12°C capture residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects or slight forecast adjustments from the next update cycle.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Объем
$1,892Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute shows Helsinki's overnight minimum stabilizing near 11°C under light southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, limiting further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology where daily lows typically range 9–13°C, though current model consensus points to slightly milder conditions than seasonal averages due to persistent warm advection. Traders have concentrated 89% implied probability on 11°C as the observed low, reflecting high confidence in official station data from Helsinki-Vantaa amid minimal model spread and no incoming frontal systems expected before midnight. Minor probabilities on 10°C or 12°C capture residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects or slight forecast adjustments from the next update cycle.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,892Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute shows Helsinki's overnight minimum stabilizing near 11°C under light southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, limiting further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology where daily lows typically range 9–13°C, though current model consensus points to slightly milder conditions than seasonal averages due to persistent warm advection. Traders have concentrated 89% implied probability on 11°C as the observed low, reflecting high confidence in official station data from Helsinki-Vantaa amid minimal model spread and no incoming frontal systems expected before midnight. Minor probabilities on 10°C or 12°C capture residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects or slight forecast adjustments from the next update cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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