Mild southerly flow and extensive cloud cover are supporting trader expectations for a minimum temperature near 12°C in Helsinki on September 19. Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble model runs show overnight lows holding around 11–13°C amid persistent rain, high humidity, and southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 12°C (45%) and 11°C (26%), well above the long-term climatological average low of roughly 9°C for the date. No significant cold-air advection is forecast before resolution, though minor model spread on exact wind strength and cloud timing keeps 10°C and 13°C outcomes viable at lower probabilities. Updated model guidance and real-time observations will be the key near-term drivers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Хельсинки 19 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Хельсинки 19 сентября?
12°C 45%
10°C 40%
9°C 39%
13°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
2%
8°C
9%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
27%
12°C
45%
13°C
39%
14°C
30%
15°C
30%
16°C
36%
17°C или выше
1%
12°C 45%
10°C 40%
9°C 39%
13°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
$0 Объем
2%
8°C
$0 Объем
9%
9°C
$0 Объем
39%
10°C
$0 Объем
40%
11°C
$0 Объем
27%
12°C
$46 Объем
45%
13°C
$0 Объем
39%
14°C
$0 Объем
30%
15°C
$0 Объем
30%
16°C
$0 Объем
36%
17°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild southerly flow and extensive cloud cover are supporting trader expectations for a minimum temperature near 12°C in Helsinki on September 19. Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble model runs show overnight lows holding around 11–13°C amid persistent rain, high humidity, and southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 12°C (45%) and 11°C (26%), well above the long-term climatological average low of roughly 9°C for the date. No significant cold-air advection is forecast before resolution, though minor model spread on exact wind strength and cloud timing keeps 10°C and 13°C outcomes viable at lower probabilities. Updated model guidance and real-time observations will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$46Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild southerly flow and extensive cloud cover are supporting trader expectations for a minimum temperature near 12°C in Helsinki on September 19. Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble model runs show overnight lows holding around 11–13°C amid persistent rain, high humidity, and southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 12°C (45%) and 11°C (26%), well above the long-term climatological average low of roughly 9°C for the date. No significant cold-air advection is forecast before resolution, though minor model spread on exact wind strength and cloud timing keeps 10°C and 13°C outcomes viable at lower probabilities. Updated model guidance and real-time observations will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$46Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Mild southerly flow and extensive cloud cover are supporting trader expectations for a minimum temperature near 12°C in Helsinki on September 19. Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble model runs show overnight lows holding around 11–13°C amid persistent rain, high humidity, and southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 12°C (45%) and 11°C (26%), well above the long-term climatological average low of roughly 9°C for the date. No significant cold-air advection is forecast before resolution, though minor model spread on exact wind strength and cloud timing keeps 10°C and 13°C outcomes viable at lower probabilities. Updated model guidance and real-time observations will be the key near-term drivers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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