Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm a minimum air temperature of 24°C on May 2, 2026—the lowest recorded at the Observatory that day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome, as markets await final resolution based on official data. This aligns precisely with HKO's May 1 forecast under mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, typical for early May when subtropical high pressure ridges maintain warm overnight lows averaging 24–26°C historically. Model consensus from multi-ensemble forecasts showed no significant cooling signals. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control, though HKO's rigorous protocols make this improbable; traders eye no further updates as the record stands firm.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 2?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 2?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$25,844 Объем
$25,844 Объем
2 мая 2026 г.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$25,844 Объем
$25,844 Объем
2 мая 2026 г.
18°C or below
$961 Объем
No
19°C
$548 Объем
No
20°C
$567 Объем
No
21°C
$939 Объем
No
22°C
$1,740 Объем
No
23°C
$4,542 Объем
No
24°C
$5,417 Объем
Yes
25°C
$5,075 Объем
No
26°C
$604 Объем
No
27°C
$3,292 Объем
No
28°C or higher
$2,159 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm a minimum air temperature of 24°C on May 2, 2026—the lowest recorded at the Observatory that day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome, as markets await final resolution based on official data. This aligns precisely with HKO's May 1 forecast under mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, typical for early May when subtropical high pressure ridges maintain warm overnight lows averaging 24–26°C historically. Model consensus from multi-ensemble forecasts showed no significant cooling signals. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control, though HKO's rigorous protocols make this improbable; traders eye no further updates as the record stands firm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$25,844Дата окончания
2 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm a minimum air temperature of 24°C on May 2, 2026—the lowest recorded at the Observatory that day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome, as markets await final resolution based on official data. This aligns precisely with HKO's May 1 forecast under mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, typical for early May when subtropical high pressure ridges maintain warm overnight lows averaging 24–26°C historically. Model consensus from multi-ensemble forecasts showed no significant cooling signals. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control, though HKO's rigorous protocols make this improbable; traders eye no further updates as the record stands firm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$25,844Дата окончания
2 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm a minimum air temperature of 24°C on May 2, 2026—the lowest recorded at the Observatory that day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome, as markets await final resolution based on official data. This aligns precisely with HKO's May 1 forecast under mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, typical for early May when subtropical high pressure ridges maintain warm overnight lows averaging 24–26°C historically. Model consensus from multi-ensemble forecasts showed no significant cooling signals. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control, though HKO's rigorous protocols make this improbable; traders eye no further updates as the record stands firm.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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